Pro Football: Saquon Barkley 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns

$2.5K Vol
2027年1月13日
Active
機率趨勢
3.5+ rushing TDs 72.0%
5.5+ rushing TDs 66.0%
9.5+ rushing TDs 30.5%
7.5+ rushing TDs 27.5%
11.5+ rushing TDs 14.5%

核心摘要

根據「Pro Football: Saquon Barkley 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,3.5+ rushing TDs 以壓倒性的 7,150% 獲勝機率主導市場;5.5+ rushing TDs 以 6,550% 位居第二,9.5+ rushing TDs 以 3,100% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $2.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 3.5+ rushing TDs (7,150%):3.5+ rushing TDs 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,150¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $495 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 5.5+ rushing TDs (6,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,5.5+ rushing TDs 保持著 6,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,550¢。
  • 9.5+ rushing TDs (3,100%):以 3,100% 的機率位列第三,市場對 9.5+ rushing TDs 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 7.5+ rushing TDs (2,800%),以及 11.5+ rushing TDs (1,400%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 7.5+ rushing TDs 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
13.5+ rushing TDs7150.0%$4957150¢-7050¢
25.5+ rushing TDs6550.0%6550¢-6450¢
39.5+ rushing TDs3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
47.5+ rushing TDs2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
511.5+ rushing TDs1400.0%$2.0K1400¢-1300¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing touchdowns Saquon Barkley records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Saquon Barkley does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing touchdowns Saquon Barkley recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「Pro Football: Saquon Barkley 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,3.5+ rushing TDs 以 7,150% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 5.5+ rushing TDs(6,550%),以及 9.5+ rushing TDs(3,100%)。該市場總成交量已達 $2.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始