Colts vs. Chiefs

$307.4K Vol
2026年9月21日
Active
機率趨勢
Chiefs 72.5%
Colts 27.5%

核心摘要

根據「Colts vs. Chiefs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 27.5 以壓倒性的 9,400% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 29.5 以 9,150% 位居第二,O/U 31.5 以 9,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $307.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 27.5 (9,400%):O/U 27.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,400¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 29.5 (9,150%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 29.5 保持著 9,150% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,150¢。
  • O/U 31.5 (9,000%):以 9,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 31.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 33.5 (8,500%)、O/U 35.5 (8,200%),以及 O/U 37.5 (7,500%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 39.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 27.59400.0%9400¢-9300¢
2O/U 29.59150.0%9150¢-9050¢
3O/U 31.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
4O/U 33.58500.0%8500¢-8400¢
5O/U 35.58200.0%8200¢-8100¢
6O/U 37.57500.0%7500¢-7400¢
7O/U 39.57050.0%7050¢-6950¢
8O/U 41.56250.0%6250¢-6150¢
9Spread -3.55950.0%$985950¢-5850¢
10O/U 43.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
11Spread -4.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
12O/U 44.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
13Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
14Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
15O/U 45.55250.0%$2025250¢-5150¢
16Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
17Spread -5.55050.0%$267.7K5050¢-4950¢
182H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Safety?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Team to Record Longest FG5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Colts Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Chiefs Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Colts vs. Chiefs: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
242Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
253Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
264Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Exact Margin: Chiefs by 7-134950.0%4950¢-4850¢
28Exact Margin: Colts by 13-184900.0%4900¢-4800¢
29Exact Margin: Colts by 7-124900.0%4900¢-4800¢
30Spread -6.54850.0%$26.9K4850¢-4750¢
31O/U 46.54850.0%$20.8K4850¢-4750¢
32Exact Margin: Tie4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
33Exact Margin: Chiefs by 1-64850.0%4850¢-4750¢
34Exact Margin: Colts by 19-244750.0%4750¢-4650¢
35Exact Margin: Colts by 1-64700.0%4700¢-4600¢
36Colts Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
37Exact Margin: Colts by 25+4650.0%4650¢-4550¢
38Exact Margin: Chiefs by 14-204650.0%4650¢-4550¢
39Exact Margin: Chiefs by 21+4650.0%4650¢-4550¢
40Chiefs Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
41O/U 47.54550.0%$554550¢-4450¢
42Spread -7.54250.0%$444250¢-4150¢
43O/U 48.54200.0%$734200¢-4100¢
44O/U 49.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
451Q Moneyline3800.0%3800¢-3700¢
46O/U 50.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
47Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
48Spread -10.53600.0%$663600¢-3500¢
491H Moneyline3300.0%3300¢-3200¢
50O/U 51.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
51O/U 53.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
52Colts vs. Chiefs2750.0%$5.9K2750¢-2650¢
53O/U 55.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢
54O/U 57.51950.0%$51950¢-1850¢
55O/U 59.51550.0%1550¢-1450¢
56O/U 61.51500.0%1500¢-1400¢
57O/U 63.51000.0%$401000¢-900¢
58O/U 65.5700.0%700¢-600¢
59O/U 67.5650.0%650¢-550¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 8:20PM ET:

If Colts wins, the market will resolve to "Colts".

If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 09:42 AM
    CEcelsius60622
    $80.00

    Bought 160 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:42 AM
    PAPapanya
    $2.50

    Bought 5 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:42 AM
    0X0xf0C1936ddbEBF206ddAE13509B76DB47086A853B-1789331868543
    $248.36

    Bought 496.72 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:41 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $6,209.00

    Bought 12418 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 09:41 AM
    $7.58

    Bought 14.86 KC for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 09:41 AM
    $10.00

    Bought 19.6 KC for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 09:04 AM
    DIDILLING3R
    $4.08

    Sold 8.32 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.49

  • 09:04 AM
    DIDILLING3R
    $4.16

    Bought 8.32 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 08:37 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 2 IND for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 08:36 AM
    OMomoi0i0
    $6,870.06

    Bought 13470.71 KC for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 08:36 AM
    OMomoi0i0
    $6,049.52

    Bought 11861.81 KC for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 08:24 AM
    BBbbbetk
    $510.00

    Bought 1000 KC for Spread: KC (-5.5) at 0.51

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

MO1
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件損益
+$102.36
成交量
$23,195.00
持倉數
UnderColts
EL2
Elaran1993
事件損益
-$96.61
成交量
$19,326.19
持倉數
Over
WR3
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件損益
+$58.97
成交量
$11,720.91
持倉數
Colts
HE4
Herdonia
事件損益
-$27.59
成交量
$5,518.50
持倉數
Chiefs
MA5
MAGATheeStallion
事件損益
-$20.00
成交量
$4,000.00
持倉數
Chiefs
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$45.77
成交量
$3,290.94
持倉數
ColtsINDOver+1
BE7
betabot
事件損益
-$10.55
成交量
$2,109.40
持倉數
Chiefs
PM8
Pm15kc
事件損益
-$10.00
成交量
$2,000.00
持倉數
Chiefs

常見問題

目前市場對「Colts vs. Chiefs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 27.5 以 9,400% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 29.5(9,150%),以及 O/U 31.5(9,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $307.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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