
Bills vs. Texans
核心摘要
根據「Bills vs. Texans」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 26.5 以壓倒性的 9,300% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 24.5 以 9,000% 位居第二,O/U 28.5 以 8,900% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $90K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 26.5 (9,300%):O/U 26.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,300¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- O/U 24.5 (9,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 24.5 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
- O/U 28.5 (8,900%):以 8,900% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 28.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 30.5 (8,700%)、O/U 32.5 (8,150%),以及 O/U 34.5 (7,900%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 36.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 26.5 | 9300.0% | — | 9300¢ | -9200¢ |
| 2 | O/U 24.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | O/U 28.5 | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 4 | O/U 30.5 | 8700.0% | — | 8700¢ | -8600¢ |
| 5 | O/U 32.5 | 8150.0% | — | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 6 | O/U 34.5 | 7900.0% | — | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 7 | O/U 36.5 | 7550.0% | — | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 8 | 2H O/U 15.5 | 7550.0% | — | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 9 | 2H O/U 18.5 | 7050.0% | — | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 10 | Bills O/U 16.5 | 7050.0% | — | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 11 | Texans O/U 16.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 12 | Texans 2H O/U 8.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 13 | Bills 2H O/U 8.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 14 | O/U 38.5 | 6800.0% | — | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 15 | Texans O/U 19.5 | 6500.0% | — | 6500¢ | -6400¢ |
| 16 | Texans 1H O/U 8.5 | 6400.0% | — | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 17 | Bills 1H O/U 8.5 | 6400.0% | — | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 18 | Bills O/U 19.5 | 6350.0% | — | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 19 | O/U 40.5 | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 20 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 21 | Texans 2H O/U 10.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 22 | Bills 2H O/U 10.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 23 | O/U 41.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 24 | O/U 42.5 | 5750.0% | $5.8K | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 25 | 1Q O/U 1.5 | 5600.0% | — | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 26 | O/U 43.5 | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 27 | Bills O/U 22.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 28 | O/U 44.5 | 5150.0% | $62.4K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 29 | Spread -0.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 30 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 31 | 1H Moneyline | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 32 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 33 | Bills vs. Texans | 5050.0% | $17.2K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 34 | 2H Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 35 | 1Q O/U 4.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 36 | 1Q Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 37 | 3Q O/U 8.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 38 | 3Q O/U 14.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 39 | 4Q O/U 6.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 40 | 4Q O/U 15.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 41 | 4Q O/U 18.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 42 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 43 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 1Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 1Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 2Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 2Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 2Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | 3Q O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | 4Q O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 1Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | 2Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | 3Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | 1Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | 1Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | 1Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Exact Margin: Bills by 25+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Exact Margin: Bills by 19-24 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Exact Margin: Bills by 13-18 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Exact Margin: Bills by 7-12 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Exact Margin: Texans by 1-6 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Exact Margin: Texans by 7-13 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Exact Margin: Texans by 14-20 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Exact Margin: Texans by 21+ | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Safety? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Team to Record Longest FG | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Bills Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Texans Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Bills Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Texans Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Bills vs. Texans: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | 2Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | 2Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | 2Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | 3Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | 3Q O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 110 | 3Q O/U 11.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 111 | 4Q O/U 12.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 112 | Texans 2H O/U 12.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 113 | Bills 2H O/U 12.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 114 | Texans O/U 22.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 115 | Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 116 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 117 | 1Q O/U 7.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 118 | Exact Margin: Bills by 1-6 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 119 | Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 120 | Spread -1.5 | 4850.0% | $100 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 121 | 1H O/U 22.5 | 4850.0% | $7 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 122 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 123 | Spread -2.5 | 4700.0% | $1.0K | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 124 | Bills 1H O/U 10.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 125 | 1H Spread -0.5 | 4550.0% | $162 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 126 | O/U 45.5 | 4550.0% | $608 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 127 | Spread -1.5 | 4550.0% | $100 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 128 | O/U 46.5 | 4450.0% | $102 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 129 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 130 | Exact Margin: Tie | 4450.0% | $34 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 131 | Texans 1H O/U 10.5 | 4350.0% | — | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 132 | 1H Spread -1.5 | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 133 | 1Q Spread -2.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 134 | Texans 1H O/U 12.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 135 | Bills 1H O/U 12.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 136 | Bills O/U 25.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 137 | Texans O/U 25.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 138 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 139 | O/U 47.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 140 | 1Q O/U 10.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 141 | O/U 48.5 | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 142 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 143 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 144 | Spread -3.5 | 3850.0% | $338 | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 145 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 146 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 147 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 148 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 149 | Spread -4.5 | 3300.0% | $1.5K | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 150 | O/U 50.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 151 | Texans O/U 28.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 152 | Bills O/U 28.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 153 | O/U 52.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 154 | O/U 54.5 | 2200.0% | — | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
| 155 | O/U 56.5 | 1950.0% | — | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 156 | O/U 58.5 | 1700.0% | — | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 157 | O/U 60.5 | 1300.0% | — | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 158 | O/U 64.5 | 1050.0% | — | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 159 | O/U 62.5 | 850.0% | $300 | 850¢ | -750¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 1:00PM ET:
If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills".
If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 8, 2026
- 07:29 AMMAmatthematike$1.00
Bought 1.960785 Bills for Bills vs. Texans at 0.51
- 06:14 AM0X0xaBea08725590a4C6Ae7c8E63214C9628BbC772AE-1781431873018$500.00
Bought 1000 Texans for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5
- 02:11 AMMOmooseborzoi$55.41
Bought 125.93 Under for Bills vs. Texans: O/U 42.5 at 0.44
- 01:57 AMRTRTIII$150.00
Bought 300 Texans for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5
- 01:36 AMMOmooseborzoi$118.86
Bought 201.46 Over for Bills vs. Texans: O/U 42.5 at 0.59
Sep 7, 2026
- 10:32 PMDVdv-pm$37.60
Bought 80 Bills for Spread: Bills (-1.5) at 0.47
- 10:29 PMVEVeryLucky888$23.00
Bought 46 Bills for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5
- 10:25 PM——$2.00
Bought 4 Bills for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5
- 10:23 PMWQwqeewqeadawfawfwa$11.75
Bought 25 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.47
- 10:22 PMWQwqeewqeadawfawfwa$11.75
Bought 25 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.47
- 10:22 PMDVdv-pm$2,966.84
Bought 5933.67 Texans for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5
- 10:22 PMVEVeryLucky888$85.80
Sold 156 Texans for Spread: Bills (-2.5) at 0.55
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Bills vs. Texans」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 26.5 以 9,300% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 24.5(9,000%),以及 O/U 28.5(8,900%)。該市場總成交量已達 $90K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
