Bills vs. Texans

$90K Vol
2026年9月13日
Active
機率趨勢
Bills 50.5%
Texans 49.5%

核心摘要

根據「Bills vs. Texans」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 26.5 以壓倒性的 9,300% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 24.5 以 9,000% 位居第二,O/U 28.5 以 8,900% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $90K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 26.5 (9,300%):O/U 26.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,300¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 24.5 (9,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 24.5 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
  • O/U 28.5 (8,900%):以 8,900% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 28.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 30.5 (8,700%)、O/U 32.5 (8,150%),以及 O/U 34.5 (7,900%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 36.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 26.59300.0%9300¢-9200¢
2O/U 24.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
3O/U 28.58900.0%8900¢-8800¢
4O/U 30.58700.0%8700¢-8600¢
5O/U 32.58150.0%8150¢-8050¢
6O/U 34.57900.0%7900¢-7800¢
7O/U 36.57550.0%7550¢-7450¢
82H O/U 15.57550.0%7550¢-7450¢
92H O/U 18.57050.0%7050¢-6950¢
10Bills O/U 16.57050.0%7050¢-6950¢
11Texans O/U 16.57000.0%7000¢-6900¢
12Texans 2H O/U 8.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
13Bills 2H O/U 8.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
14O/U 38.56800.0%6800¢-6700¢
15Texans O/U 19.56500.0%6500¢-6400¢
16Texans 1H O/U 8.56400.0%6400¢-6300¢
17Bills 1H O/U 8.56400.0%6400¢-6300¢
18Bills O/U 19.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
19O/U 40.56250.0%6250¢-6150¢
202H O/U 21.56250.0%6250¢-6150¢
21Texans 2H O/U 10.56050.0%6050¢-5950¢
22Bills 2H O/U 10.56050.0%6050¢-5950¢
23O/U 41.55850.0%5850¢-5750¢
24O/U 42.55750.0%$5.8K5750¢-5650¢
251Q O/U 1.55600.0%5600¢-5500¢
26O/U 43.55450.0%5450¢-5350¢
27Bills O/U 22.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
28O/U 44.55150.0%$62.4K5150¢-5050¢
29Spread -0.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
302H O/U 24.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
311H Moneyline5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
322H Spread -4.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
33Bills vs. Texans5050.0%$17.2K5050¢-4950¢
342H Moneyline5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
351Q O/U 4.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
361Q Moneyline5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
373Q O/U 8.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
383Q O/U 14.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
394Q O/U 6.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
404Q O/U 15.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
414Q O/U 18.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
421H O/U 21.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
431Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
441Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
451Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
462Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
472Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
482Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
492Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
502Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
512Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
522Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
532Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
542Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
552Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
563Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
573Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
583Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
593Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
603Q O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
613Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
624Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
634Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
644Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
654Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
664Q O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
674Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
681Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
692Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
703Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
714Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
721Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
731Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
741Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
75Exact Margin: Bills by 25+5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
76Exact Margin: Bills by 19-245000.0%5000¢-4900¢
77Exact Margin: Bills by 13-185000.0%5000¢-4900¢
78Exact Margin: Bills by 7-125000.0%5000¢-4900¢
79Exact Margin: Texans by 1-65000.0%5000¢-4900¢
80Exact Margin: Texans by 7-135000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81Exact Margin: Texans by 14-205000.0%5000¢-4900¢
82Exact Margin: Texans by 21+5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
83Safety?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
84Team to Record Longest FG5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
85Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
86Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
87Bills Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
88Texans Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
89Bills Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
90Texans Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91Bills vs. Texans: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
922Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
932Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
942Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
952Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
964Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
974Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
984Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
994Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1004Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1012H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1022H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1032H Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1043Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1053Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1063Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1073Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1083Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1093Q O/U 2.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
1103Q O/U 11.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
1114Q O/U 12.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
112Texans 2H O/U 12.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
113Bills 2H O/U 12.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
114Texans O/U 22.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
115Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
1162H Spread -3.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
1171Q O/U 7.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
118Exact Margin: Bills by 1-64900.0%4900¢-4800¢
119Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
120Spread -1.54850.0%$1004850¢-4750¢
1211H O/U 22.54850.0%$74850¢-4750¢
1222H Spread -0.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
123Spread -2.54700.0%$1.0K4700¢-4600¢
124Bills 1H O/U 10.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
1251H Spread -0.54550.0%$1624550¢-4450¢
126O/U 45.54550.0%$6084550¢-4450¢
127Spread -1.54550.0%$1004550¢-4450¢
128O/U 46.54450.0%$1024450¢-4350¢
1292H Spread -1.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
130Exact Margin: Tie4450.0%$344450¢-4350¢
131Texans 1H O/U 10.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
1321H Spread -1.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
1331Q Spread -2.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
134Texans 1H O/U 12.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
135Bills 1H O/U 12.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
136Bills O/U 25.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
137Texans O/U 25.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
1382H Spread -2.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
139O/U 47.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
1401Q O/U 10.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
141O/U 48.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
1421Q Spread -0.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
1432H O/U 27.53900.0%3900¢-3800¢
144Spread -3.53850.0%$3383850¢-3750¢
1451Q Spread -0.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
1461Q Spread -1.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
1472H Spread -3.53750.0%3750¢-3650¢
1482H Spread -4.53500.0%3500¢-3400¢
149Spread -4.53300.0%$1.5K3300¢-3200¢
150O/U 50.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
151Texans O/U 28.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
152Bills O/U 28.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
153O/U 52.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
154O/U 54.52200.0%2200¢-2100¢
155O/U 56.51950.0%1950¢-1850¢
156O/U 58.51700.0%1700¢-1600¢
157O/U 60.51300.0%1300¢-1200¢
158O/U 64.51050.0%1050¢-950¢
159O/U 62.5850.0%$300850¢-750¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 1:00PM ET:

If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills".

If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 8, 2026

  • 07:29 AM
    MAmatthematike
    $1.00

    Bought 1.960785 Bills for Bills vs. Texans at 0.51

  • 06:14 AM
    0X0xaBea08725590a4C6Ae7c8E63214C9628BbC772AE-1781431873018
    $500.00

    Bought 1000 Texans for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5

  • 02:11 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $55.41

    Bought 125.93 Under for Bills vs. Texans: O/U 42.5 at 0.44

  • 01:57 AM
    RTRTIII
    $150.00

    Bought 300 Texans for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5

  • 01:36 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $118.86

    Bought 201.46 Over for Bills vs. Texans: O/U 42.5 at 0.59

Sep 7, 2026

  • 10:32 PM
    DVdv-pm
    $37.60

    Bought 80 Bills for Spread: Bills (-1.5) at 0.47

  • 10:29 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $23.00

    Bought 46 Bills for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5

  • 10:25 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 4 Bills for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5

  • 10:23 PM
    WQwqeewqeadawfawfwa
    $11.75

    Bought 25 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.47

  • 10:22 PM
    WQwqeewqeadawfawfwa
    $11.75

    Bought 25 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.47

  • 10:22 PM
    DVdv-pm
    $2,966.84

    Bought 5933.67 Texans for Bills vs. Texans at 0.5

  • 10:22 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $85.80

    Sold 156 Texans for Spread: Bills (-2.5) at 0.55

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

VE1
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$83.05
成交量
$10,412.04
持倉數
BillsTexansBills+3
DV2
dv-pm
事件損益
-$28.46
成交量
$6,013.67
持倉數
TexansBills
MO3
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$81.04
成交量
$2,321.19
持倉數
TexansBillsBills+4
AB4
0xaBea…3018
事件損益
-$24.12
成交量
$2,274.52
持倉數
Texans
635
0x6387…95dc
事件損益
-$10.78
成交量
$2,156.86
持倉數
Texans
MO6
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件損益
-$9.53
成交量
$1,905.12
持倉數
Texans
FL7
Flaznorp
事件損益
+$6.93
成交量
$1,386.36
持倉數
Bills
NI8
nigiri99
事件損益
-$51.92
成交量
$1,088.00
持倉數
BillsUnderTexans

常見問題

目前市場對「Bills vs. Texans」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 26.5 以 9,300% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 24.5(9,000%),以及 O/U 28.5(8,900%)。該市場總成交量已達 $90K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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