Next James Bond announced by...?

根據「Next James Bond announced by...?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，December 31, 2026 以壓倒性的 7,350% 獲勝機率主導市場；March 31, 2027 以 7,250% 位居第二，October 31, 2026 以 2,500% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• December 31, 2026 (7,350%)：December 31, 2026 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,350¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• March 31, 2027 (7,250%)：作為最可行的替代選項，March 31, 2027 保持著 7,250% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,250¢。
• October 31, 2026 (2,500%)：以 2,500% 的機率位列第三，市場對 October 31, 2026 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

This market will resolve to “Yes” if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor in a starring role of a feature film by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.