Rockets vs. Mavericks

$169.5K Vol
2026年10月9日
Active
機率趨勢
Rockets 56.5%
Mavericks 43.5%

核心摘要

根據「Rockets vs. Mavericks」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,1H Moneyline 以壓倒性的 9,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Rockets vs. Mavericks 以 8,850% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 8,500% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $169.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 1H Moneyline (9,950%):1H Moneyline 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Rockets vs. Mavericks (8,850%):作為最可行的替代選項,Rockets vs. Mavericks 保持著 8,850% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,850¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (8,500%):以 8,500% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -1.5 (8,300%)、Spread -3.5 (8,000%),以及 Spread -6.5 (7,450%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Team to Score First 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
11H Moneyline9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
2Rockets vs. Mavericks8850.0%$96.0K8850¢-8750¢
3Spread -2.58500.0%$10.5K8500¢-8400¢
4Spread -1.58300.0%$8.3K8300¢-8200¢
5Spread -3.58000.0%$3.9K8000¢-7900¢
6Spread -6.57450.0%$3.4K7450¢-7350¢
7Team to Score First5100.0%$565100¢-5000¢
8Odd/Even Score5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91H O/U 110.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10O/U 217.54900.0%$5.0K4900¢-4800¢
111H O/U 114.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
121H O/U 112.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
13O/U 221.54250.0%$10.1K4250¢-4150¢
14O/U 220.54050.0%$9.8K4050¢-3950¢
15O/U 223.53100.0%$6.5K3100¢-3000¢
16O/U 226.53100.0%$2.0K3100¢-3000¢
17O/U 229.52750.0%$442750¢-2650¢
18O/U 222.52700.0%$13.2K2700¢-2600¢
19O/U 228.52250.0%$5542250¢-2150¢
20O/U 230.52050.0%$1202050¢-1950¢
211H O/U 111.51200.0%$61200¢-1100¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 9 at 8:00AM ET:

If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets".

If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 9, 2026

  • 11:13 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $231.12

    Bought 428 Rockets for Rockets vs. Mavericks at 0.54

  • 11:13 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $547.00

    Bought 1012.96 Rockets for Rockets vs. Mavericks at 0.54

  • 11:12 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $64.14

    Bought 123.35 Rockets for Rockets vs. Mavericks at 0.52

  • 11:10 AM
    ZZZzzz87
    $387.10

    Bought 790 Mavericks for Rockets vs. Mavericks at 0.49

  • 11:07 AM
    SUSupercycle106
    $1.10

    Bought 2.244898 Mavericks for Rockets vs. Mavericks at 0.49

  • 11:06 AM
    MEMester01
    $2.58

    Bought 4.961539 Rockets for Rockets vs. Mavericks at 0.52

  • 11:06 AM
    CRcrystal12345
    $144.44

    Bought 294.775511 Mavericks for Rockets vs. Mavericks at 0.49

  • 11:03 AM
    0X0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465
    $5.77

    Bought 11.31 Rockets for Rockets vs. Mavericks at 0.51

  • 11:03 AM
    ——
    $1.02

    Bought 1.961539 Rockets for Rockets vs. Mavericks at 0.52

  • 11:03 AM
    DOdoglover4571
    $17.85

    Bought 35 Rockets for Rockets vs. Mavericks at 0.51

  • 11:03 AM
    DOdoglover4571
    $20.40

    Bought 40 Rockets for Rockets vs. Mavericks at 0.51

  • 11:02 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $92.67

    Bought 181.705883 Rockets for Rockets vs. Mavericks at 0.51

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

QW1
QWUERHAIUKSJNFSNCF
事件損益
+$114.77
成交量
$2,398.80
持倉數
Rockets
FO2
forecastication4
事件損益
-$110.80
成交量
$1,504.92
持倉數
Mavericks
ZZ3
Zzzz87
事件損益
-$3.12
成交量
$1,000.00
持倉數
Mavericks
SU4
suntori
事件損益
+$21.63
成交量
$935.38
持倉數
Rockets
FA5
fathom.fyi
事件損益
+$12.06
成交量
$804.06
持倉數
Rockets
NO6
no1dodgersfan
事件損益
+$2.99
成交量
$529.72
持倉數
Mavericks
GA7
Gaditima
事件損益
-$40.38
成交量
$475.06
持倉數
Mavericks
388
38791873984189
事件損益
-$21.15
成交量
$439.48
持倉數
Mavericks

常見問題

目前市場對「Rockets vs. Mavericks」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,1H Moneyline 以 9,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Rockets vs. Mavericks(8,850%),以及 Spread -2.5(8,500%)。該市場總成交量已達 $169.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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