Myspace relaunched in 2026?

$107 Vol
2027年1月1日
Active
機率趨勢
No 79.5%
Yes 20.5%

核心摘要

根據「Myspace relaunched in 2026?」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,No 以壓倒性的 7,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Yes 以 2,050% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $107,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • No (7,950%):No 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Yes (2,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Yes 保持著 2,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 2,050¢。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1No7950.0%7950¢-7850¢
2Yes2050.0%2050¢-1950¢

裁決規則

On July 17, 2026, People reported that current Myspace owners Chris and Tim Vanderhook stated during their appearance in Tommy Avallone’s documentary Myspace that they plan to relaunch the platform. You can read more about that here: https://people.com/myspace-current-owners-explain-site-end-and-why-relaunches-havent-worked-12020148

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Myspace is relaunched between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying relaunch is defined as the launch of a materially new or substantially redesigned version of the Myspace platform or service that is officially presented as a relaunch, revival, return, comeback, or new version of Myspace by Myspace or its owners.

The relaunch must be live and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The continued availability of the existing Myspace website, ordinary updates or redesigns to the existing platform, the restoration or addition of individual features, or an announcement of plans to relaunch Myspace will not alone qualify.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website (Myspace.com), an official Myspace subdomain, another official URL, an official mobile application or similar. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be the Myspace platform or service, as well as official information from Myspace and its owners, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「Myspace relaunched in 2026?」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,No 以 7,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Yes(2,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $107,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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