Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies

$110.7K Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
機率趨勢
Philadelphia Phillies 52.5%
Tampa Bay Rays 47.5%

核心摘要

根據「Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 以壓倒性的 8,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 以 7,650% 位居第二,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 6,700% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $110.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (8,000%):Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 (7,650%):作為最可行的替代選項,Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 保持著 7,650% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,650¢。
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,700%):以 6,700% 的機率位列第三,市場對 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (6,250%)、Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 (6,000%),以及 O/U 6.5 (5,350%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.58000.0%—8000¢-7900¢
2Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.57650.0%$1087650¢-7550¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 2.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
4Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
5Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
6O/U 6.55350.0%$8025350¢-5250¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 3.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
8Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies4750.0%$102.7K4750¢-4650¢
9Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
10Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
11NRFI4450.0%$44450¢-4350¢
12O/U 7.54150.0%$1144150¢-4050¢
131st 5 Innings O/U 4.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
14O/U 8.53400.0%$3.0K3400¢-3300¢
15Spread -1.53350.0%$5763350¢-3250¢
16Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
17Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
18Spread -1.53250.0%$5763250¢-3150¢
19Tampa Bay Rays O/U 5.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
201st 5 Innings O/U 5.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
211st 5 Innings Spread -1.52750.0%$52750¢-2650¢
221st 5 Innings Spread -1.52650.0%$52650¢-2550¢
23Spread -2.52350.0%$5732350¢-2250¢
24Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
25Spread -2.52250.0%$5732250¢-2150¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 6.51900.0%$301900¢-1800¢
27Extra Innings1200.0%—1200¢-1100¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 26 at 7:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 10:00 PM
    TETestingthewaters1
    $3.47

    Bought 7.229167 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:59 PM
    THthanos777
    $30.00

    Bought 62.5 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:57 PM
    TRtraderwins180
    $800.00

    Bought 1666.666667 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:56 PM
    CHchristinahudson
    $4.24

    Bought 8.833334 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:53 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $18.09

    Bought 37.6875 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:47 PM
    ——
    $293.88

    Bought 612.25 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:36 PM
    TITimPenis
    $3.05

    Bought 6.354167 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:35 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.61

    Bought 18.13 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.53

  • 09:33 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.61

    Bought 18.13 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.53

  • 09:32 PM
    LULululemade
    $25.00

    Bought 52.083334 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.48

  • 09:32 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.80

    Bought 9.06 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.53

  • 09:31 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.80

    Bought 9.06 Philadelphia Phillies for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.53

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

WA1
wapol
事件損益
+$13.76
成交量
$3,575.35
持倉數
UnderTampa Bay RaysPhiladelphia Phillies+1
PE2
PETE7
事件損益
+$12.02
成交量
$2,402.56
持倉數
Over
DI3
dinimami
事件損益
-$28.89
成交量
$2,274.24
持倉數
Philadelphia Phillies
FI4
filipok2003
事件損益
-$35.70
成交量
$937.98
持倉數
Philadelphia Phillies
MO5
mooseborzoi
事件損益
+$8.95
成交量
$747.58
持倉數
Tampa Bay Rays
386
38791873984189
事件損益
+$4.55
成交量
$507.99
持倉數
Tampa Bay RaysUnder
SE7
selbywest
事件損益
+$4.50
成交量
$300.00
持倉數
Tampa Bay Rays
9E8
0x9e3e…9396
事件損益
-$1.43
成交量
$285.70
持倉數
Tampa Bay Rays

常見問題

目前市場對「Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 以 8,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5(7,650%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5(6,700%)。該市場總成交量已達 $110.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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