San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers

$349.1K Vol
2026年10月12日
Active
機率趨勢
San Diego Padres 68.5%
Milwaukee Brewers 31.5%

核心摘要

根據「San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 4.5 以壓倒性的 7,750% 獲勝機率主導市場;San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers 以 6,850% 位居第二,San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 以 5,800% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $349.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 4.5 (7,750%):O/U 4.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,750¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers (6,850%):作為最可行的替代選項,San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers 保持著 6,850% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,850¢。
  • San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 (5,800%):以 5,800% 的機率位列第三,市場對 San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 5.5 (5,300%)、San Diego Padres O/U 4.5 (5,050%),以及 Extra Innings (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 San Diego Padres O/U 2.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 4.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
2San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers6850.0%$250.8K6850¢-6750¢
3San Diego Padres O/U 1.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
4O/U 5.55300.0%$1.4K5300¢-5200¢
5San Diego Padres O/U 4.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
6Extra Innings5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7San Diego Padres O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8San Diego Padres O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Spread -1.54150.0%$11.4K4150¢-4050¢
15O/U 6.54050.0%$6.4K4050¢-3950¢
16O/U 7.52350.0%$63.3K2350¢-2250¢
17Spread -2.52350.0%$7542350¢-2250¢
18O/U 8.51650.0%$1.8K1650¢-1550¢
19Spread -1.51250.0%$11.4K1250¢-1150¢
20Spread -2.5630.0%$754630¢-530¢
211st 5 Innings Spread -1.550.0%$1950¢50¢
221st 5 Innings Spread -1.550.0%$1950¢50¢
231st 5 Innings O/U 3.550.0%$1.6K50¢50¢
241st 5 Innings O/U 4.540.0%—40¢60¢
251st 5 Innings O/U 5.540.0%—40¢60¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 6.540.0%$740¢60¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 4 at 4:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 4, 2026

  • 12:09 PM
    ZGzgcdwf01
    $78.66

    Bought 114 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.69

  • 12:08 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.69

  • 12:08 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $2,069.54

    Bought 3043.44 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:47 AM
    TItinarthu
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

  • 11:46 AM
    CIciserman
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

  • 11:45 AM
    HJhjuff
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

  • 11:40 AM
    OOoookkkkla
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

  • 11:34 AM
    TOtonypartington
    $2.00

    Bought 4.651163 Yes for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.43

  • 11:26 AM
    0X0xcf8b1406cfc9749518b908b19d81c45607ccf162
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

  • 11:19 AM
    MLMladek
    $2.50

    Bought 4.385965 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

  • 11:17 AM
    33337
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724138 Over for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 at 0.58

  • 11:17 AM
    33337
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754386 Milwaukee Brewers for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.57

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

TA1
taylorsversion
事件損益
+$251.00
成交量
$50,189.86
持倉數
Under
MO2
mooseborzoii
事件損益
-$206.79
成交量
$42,320.27
持倉數
OverSan Diego Padres
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$36.41
成交量
$8,281.37
持倉數
Milwaukee BrewersOverSan Diego Padres+1
NI4
nigiri99
事件損益
-$11.64
成交量
$5,538.05
持倉數
San Diego PadresYesOver+1
0X5
0x0x23…h8c9
事件損益
-$22.73
成交量
$4,545.45
持倉數
Over
PE6
PETE7
事件損益
-$20.00
成交量
$3,999.99
持倉數
San Diego Padres
667
0x661f…098a
事件損益
+$51.78
成交量
$3,451.72
持倉數
Yes
CH8
ChampGamp
事件損益
-$51.72
成交量
$3,448.28
持倉數
No

常見問題

目前市場對「San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 4.5 以 7,750% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers(6,850%),以及 San Diego Padres O/U 1.5(5,800%)。該市場總成交量已達 $349.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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