Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

$335.6K Vol
2026年9月25日
Active
機率趨勢
New York Mets 53.5%
Philadelphia Phillies 46.5%

核心摘要

根據「Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 以壓倒性的 8,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 6,000% 位居第二,1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 以 5,700% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $335.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (8,050%):Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 保持著 6,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,000¢。
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,700%):以 5,700% 的機率位列第三,市場對 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 New York Mets O/U 6.5 (5,400%)、1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 (5,100%),以及 Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.58050.0%8050¢-7950¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.56000.0%6000¢-5900¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 3.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
4New York Mets O/U 6.55400.0%$4135400¢-5300¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 6.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
6Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Extra Innings5000.0%$5975000¢-4900¢
9Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10New York Mets O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11New York Mets O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12New York Mets O/U 5.55000.0%$35000¢-4900¢
13O/U 5.54700.0%$384700¢-4600¢
14Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets4550.0%$261.5K4550¢-4450¢
15O/U 6.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
16Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.53750.0%3750¢-3650¢
17Spread -1.53250.0%$6.3K3250¢-3150¢
18New York Mets O/U 2.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
19Spread -1.53050.0%$6.3K3050¢-2950¢
20Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
211st 5 Innings O/U 4.52750.0%$8852750¢-2650¢
22O/U 7.52700.0%$3.8K2700¢-2600¢
23Spread -2.52200.0%$1.3K2200¢-2100¢
24O/U 8.52000.0%$49.2K2000¢-1900¢
25Spread -2.51950.0%$1.3K1950¢-1850¢
261st 5 Innings Spread -1.51900.0%1900¢-1800¢
271st 5 Innings O/U 5.51750.0%$161750¢-1650¢
28O/U 9.51300.0%$8401300¢-1200¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, scheduled for September 17 at 7:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 17, 2026

  • 11:33 PM
    0X0xe7Fe243CeDf4C0Ae5A8d208C8508103c581e261E-1770540281244
    $4.15

    Bought 5.92857 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.7

  • 11:32 PM
    $63.84

    Bought 199.5 New York Mets for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.32

  • 11:32 PM
    $63.84

    Bought 199.5 New York Mets for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.32

  • 11:32 PM
    ZUzusu
    $1.00

    Bought 1.265823 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) at 0.79

  • 11:31 PM
    3838791873984189
    $3.75

    Sold 5 New York Mets for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) at 0.75

  • 11:31 PM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $1,710.72

    Bought 2592 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 11:30 PM
    M7M7TRFv
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 Over for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 at 0.45

  • 11:29 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.030302 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 11:29 PM
    JUJustluck9
    $477.02

    Bought 1403.01 New York Mets for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.34

  • 11:27 PM
    SWSwiss-c
    $5.00

    Bought 13.16 Over for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 at 0.38

  • 11:27 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.79

    Bought 9.973685 Over for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 at 0.38

  • 11:27 PM
    $1.07

    Bought 2.018519 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

2A1
0x2a07…7354
事件損益
+$177.48
成交量
$35,488.94
持倉數
Philadelphia Phillies
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$7.68
成交量
$15,000.00
持倉數
New York Mets
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$73.71
成交量
$12,656.46
持倉數
New York MetsNew York MetsUnder+2
324
0x32b4…3653
事件損益
-$40.00
成交量
$7,999.97
持倉數
New York Mets
SA5
Salad1
事件損益
+$30.00
成交量
$6,000.00
持倉數
Philadelphia Phillies
SD6
SDTrading
事件損益
+$57.83
成交量
$3,855.27
持倉數
Philadelphia Phillies
NI7
nigiri99
事件損益
+$12.27
成交量
$3,819.00
持倉數
Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia PhilliesOver
A68
0xa697…6031
事件損益
-$2.52
成交量
$2,064.65
持倉數
New York MetsUnder

常見問題

目前市場對「Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 以 8,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5(6,000%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5(5,700%)。該市場總成交量已達 $335.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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