Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

$243.5K Vol
2026年10月6日
Active
機率趨勢
Atlanta Braves 62.5%
Philadelphia Phillies 37.5%

核心摘要

根據「Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 以壓倒性的 7,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 以 6,850% 位居第二,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 6,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $243.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 (7,000%):Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 (6,850%):作為最可行的替代選項,Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 保持著 6,850% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,850¢。
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,250%):以 6,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 6.5 (5,350%)、Atlanta Braves O/U 3.5 (5,300%),以及 Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 (5,150%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
2Atlanta Braves O/U 2.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 2.56250.0%$36250¢-6150¢
4O/U 6.55350.0%$124.3K5350¢-5250¢
5Atlanta Braves O/U 3.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
6Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.55150.0%$65150¢-5050¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 3.54650.0%$5.2K4650¢-4550¢
8Spread -1.54250.0%$2784250¢-4150¢
9O/U 7.54050.0%$14.5K4050¢-3950¢
10Atlanta Braves O/U 4.54000.0%$704000¢-3900¢
11Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves3750.0%$87.8K3750¢-3650¢
12NRFI3750.0%$10.0K3750¢-3650¢
13Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -1.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
151st 5 Innings O/U 4.53500.0%$2223500¢-3400¢
16O/U 8.53250.0%$4.0K3250¢-3150¢
17Spread -2.53150.0%$5253150¢-3050¢
18Atlanta Braves O/U 5.52900.0%$1122900¢-2800¢
19Atlanta Braves O/U 6.52850.0%$1002850¢-2750¢
20Spread -1.52550.0%$2782550¢-2450¢
21Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
221st 5 Innings O/U 5.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
231st 5 Innings Spread -1.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
24Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.51650.0%$101650¢-1550¢
25Spread -2.51650.0%$5251650¢-1550¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 6.51550.0%$301550¢-1450¢
27Extra Innings1150.0%$11150¢-1050¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 29 at 2:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 29, 2026

  • 12:14 PM
    0X0x74Dd33701ed49E133dF8DA1620FBb0f5336fF3c5-1774500116142
    $6.40

    Bought 10 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.64

  • 12:13 PM
    0X0x74Dd33701ed49E133dF8DA1620FBb0f5336fF3c5-1774500116142
    $6.40

    Bought 10 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.64

  • 12:13 PM
    NInigiri99
    $291.46

    Bought 494 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.59

  • 12:12 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.12

    Bought 19 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 12:11 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $47.52

    Bought 99 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 12:11 PM
    NInigiri99
    $979.68

    Bought 2041 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 12:08 PM
    GIGiannisAntetokounmpo
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702703 Philadelphia Phillies for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.37

  • 12:03 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $49.44

    Bought 103 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 12:01 PM
    0X0x0f8735F0a24c66D828Fe0dA406Fc123788F1E046-1772325643855
    $7.70

    Bought 12.03 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.64

  • 12:00 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $13.92

    Bought 29 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 11:56 AM
    DOdocshark
    $2.00

    Bought 3.125 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.64

  • 11:56 AM
    PHPheyul
    $8.32

    Bought 13 Atlanta Braves for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.64

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
事件損益
+$88.72
成交量
$59,618.65
持倉數
OverAtlanta Braves
MO2
mooseborzoi
事件損益
-$40.88
成交量
$39,975.00
持倉數
UnderUnderUnder+3
HM3
HMLSF
事件損益
+$152.48
成交量
$30,424.70
持倉數
Philadelphia Phillies
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
+$22.63
成交量
$26,595.14
持倉數
Philadelphia PhilliesUnder
HI5
hi774c
事件損益
-$128.17
成交量
$25,633.33
持倉數
Atlanta Braves
HO6
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$124.09
成交量
$16,192.83
持倉數
UnderPhiladelphia PhilliesAtlanta Braves+2
NI7
nigiri99
事件損益
-$133.75
成交量
$13,733.99
持倉數
OverNoUnder+2
DA8
darkumbreon88
事件損益
-$61.87
成交量
$12,374.79
持倉數
Atlanta Braves

常見問題

目前市場對「Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 以 7,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5(6,850%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5(6,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $243.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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