New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays

$412.6K Vol
2026年9月8日
Active
機率趨勢
Tampa Bay Rays 63.5%
New York Mets 36.5%

核心摘要

根據「New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以壓倒性的 7,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 以 6,150% 位居第二,O/U 7.5 以 5,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $412.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,550%):1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,150%):作為最可行的替代選項,1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 保持著 6,150% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,150¢。
  • O/U 7.5 (5,250%):以 5,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 7.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 NRFI (4,950%)、1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (4,750%),以及 Spread -1.5 (4,450%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 8.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57550.0%7550¢-7450¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
3O/U 7.55250.0%$9.3K5250¢-5150¢
4NRFI4950.0%$2.1K4950¢-4850¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 4.54750.0%$984750¢-4650¢
6Spread -1.54450.0%$6544450¢-4350¢
7O/U 8.54450.0%$29.9K4450¢-4350¢
81st 5 Innings Spread -1.53950.0%$553950¢-3850¢
9New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays3650.0%$316.4K3650¢-3550¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 5.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
11O/U 9.53450.0%$3.0K3450¢-3350¢
12Spread -2.53350.0%$243350¢-3250¢
131st 5 Innings O/U 6.52600.0%2600¢-2500¢
14Spread -1.52550.0%$6542550¢-2450¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -1.51900.0%$551900¢-1800¢
16Spread -2.51850.0%$241850¢-1750¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 31 at 6:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 31, 2026

  • 09:23 PM
    DJdjawks
    $201.69

    Bought 576.257141 Over for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5 at 0.35

  • 09:22 PM
    DJdjawks
    $380.35

    Bought 845.222221 Over for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.45

  • 09:20 PM
    OPopbalimi72
    $75.00

    Bought 214.285713 Over for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5 at 0.35

  • 09:20 PM
    $2.46

    Bought 7.02857 Over for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5 at 0.35

  • 09:20 PM
    HOhollowbyte9
    $40.00

    Bought 114.285713 Over for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5 at 0.35

  • 09:20 PM
    BAbattlecruiser
    $195.35

    Bought 558.13 Over for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5 at 0.35

  • 09:20 PM
    DJdjawks
    $694.38

    Bought 1310.150942 Over for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 09:20 PM
    $4.69

    Bought 10.422221 Over for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.45

  • 09:20 PM
    HOhollowbyte9
    $40.00

    Bought 88.888887 Over for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.45

  • 09:20 PM
    OPopbalimi72
    $75.00

    Bought 166.666665 Over for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.45

  • 09:20 PM
    BAbattlecruiser
    $370.18

    Bought 822.62 Over for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.45

  • 09:19 PM
    OPopbalimi72
    $75.00

    Bought 141.509431 Over for New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

F61
0xf668…3123
事件損益
-$1,569.81
成交量
$215,865.38
持倉數
Tampa Bay Rays
3D2
0x3DFb…8185
事件損益
-$1,166.65
成交量
$77,776.98
持倉數
New York Mets
SD3
SDTrading
事件損益
+$966.15
成交量
$73,227.87
持倉數
Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays
NO4
no1dodgersfan
事件損益
+$350.69
成交量
$55,869.72
持倉數
New York MetsOver
2C5
0x2c33…5465
事件損益
+$267.20
成交量
$53,439.23
持倉數
New York Mets
HO6
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$429.63
成交量
$34,343.35
持倉數
New York MetsUnderNew York Mets+3
BE7
Berniepaidoff
事件損益
-$355.35
成交量
$33,665.76
持倉數
Tampa Bay Rays
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$122.16
成交量
$32,178.59
持倉數
New York MetsNew York MetsOver

常見問題

目前市場對「New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 7,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5(6,150%),以及 O/U 7.5(5,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $412.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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