MLB: Most Home Runs (Team)

$1 Vol
2026年10月12日
Active
機率趨勢
Team D 50.5%
Team A 50.0%
Team B 50.0%
Team C 50.0%
Team E 50.0%

核心摘要

根據「MLB: Most Home Runs (Team)」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Atlanta Braves 以壓倒性的 4,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Baltimore Orioles 以 4,950% 位居第二,Chicago Cubs 以 4,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $1,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Atlanta Braves (4,950%):Atlanta Braves 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 4,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Baltimore Orioles (4,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Baltimore Orioles 保持著 4,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,950¢。
  • Chicago Cubs (4,950%):以 4,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Chicago Cubs 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Chicago White Sox (4,950%)、Cincinnati Reds (4,950%),以及 Detroit Tigers (4,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Houston Astros 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Atlanta Braves4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
2Baltimore Orioles4950.0%$14950¢-4850¢
3Chicago Cubs4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
4Chicago White Sox4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
5Cincinnati Reds4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
6Detroit Tigers4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
7Houston Astros4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
8Los Angeles Angels4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9Los Angeles Dodgers4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10Minnesota Twins4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11New York Mets4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12New York Yankees4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13Athletics4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14Philadelphia Phillies4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15Pittsburgh Pirates4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
16Seattle Mariners4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
17Washington Nationals4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
18San Francisco Giants255.0%255¢-155¢
19Colorado Rockies250.0%250¢-150¢
20St. Louis Cardinals250.0%250¢-150¢
21Texas Rangers250.0%250¢-150¢
22Arizona Diamondbacks205.0%205¢-105¢
23Cleveland Guardians205.0%205¢-105¢
24Kansas City Royals205.0%205¢-105¢
25Miami Marlins205.0%205¢-105¢
26Milwaukee Brewers205.0%205¢-105¢
27San Diego Padres205.0%205¢-105¢
28Tampa Bay Rays205.0%205¢-105¢
29Toronto Blue Jays205.0%205¢-105¢
30Boston Red Sox200.0%200¢-100¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve according to the team that hits the most home runs during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「MLB: Most Home Runs (Team)」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Atlanta Braves 以 4,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Baltimore Orioles(4,950%),以及 Chicago Cubs(4,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $1,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始