Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles

$237K Vol
2026年9月26日
Active
機率趨勢
Milwaukee Brewers 58.5%
Baltimore Orioles 41.5%

核心摘要

根據「Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.5 以壓倒性的 8,750% 獲勝機率主導市場;1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 8,150% 位居第二,Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5 以 7,900% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $237K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.5 (8,750%):Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,750¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (8,150%):作為最可行的替代選項,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 保持著 8,150% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,150¢。
  • Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5 (7,900%):以 7,900% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.5 (6,550%)、1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,300%),以及 Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.5 (6,200%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.58750.0%8750¢-8650¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.58150.0%8150¢-8050¢
3Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.57900.0%7900¢-7800¢
4Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.56550.0%6550¢-6450¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 3.56300.0%6300¢-6200¢
6Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.56200.0%6200¢-6100¢
7Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles5850.0%$108.0K5850¢-5750¢
8O/U 7.55650.0%$6.2K5650¢-5550¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 4.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10Baltimore Orioles O/U 3.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
11NRFI4850.0%$2044850¢-4750¢
12Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
13O/U 8.54650.0%$132.2K4650¢-4550¢
14Spread -1.54450.0%$1364450¢-4350¢
15Milwaukee Brewers O/U 6.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
161st 5 Innings O/U 5.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
17O/U 9.53750.0%$4083750¢-3650¢
18Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
19Baltimore Orioles O/U 4.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
201st 5 Innings Spread -1.53500.0%$53500¢-3400¢
21Spread -2.53350.0%$1293350¢-3250¢
221st 5 Innings O/U 6.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
23Spread -1.52750.0%$1362750¢-2650¢
24Baltimore Orioles O/U 5.52550.0%2550¢-2450¢
251st 5 Innings Spread -1.52500.0%$52500¢-2400¢
26Spread -2.51850.0%$1291850¢-1750¢
27Extra Innings850.0%850¢-750¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 18 at 7:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 18, 2026

  • 12:04 PM
    FIfizzwont
    $37.50

    Bought 78.125 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 11:57 AM
    NInigiri99
    $5.76

    Bought 12 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 11:55 AM
    OLOlivier987
    $24.00

    Bought 50 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 11:53 AM
    NInigiri99
    $92.16

    Bought 192 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 11:44 AM
    NInigiri99
    $10.56

    Bought 22 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 11:38 AM
    NCNck
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724138 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.58

  • 11:34 AM
    TATattyBojangles
    $50.00

    Bought 113.636364 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.44

  • 11:30 AM
    BRbrendoncarson
    $209.95

    Bought 403.75 Under for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.52

  • 11:08 AM
    POPoetry
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724138 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.58

  • 08:07 AM
    CCCCD
    $47.82

    Bought 108.69 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) at 0.44

  • 07:33 AM
    SHshirleyyyyyy
    $5.00

    Bought 8.77193 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles at 0.57

  • 07:22 AM
    SCscherahmeda
    $5.00

    Bought 14.705883 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) at 0.34

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SI1
sirluca888
事件損益
+$28.33
成交量
$1,826.37
持倉數
Baltimore Orioles
652
6512395314597884
事件損益
-$15.00
成交量
$999.99
持倉數
Milwaukee Brewers
NI3
nigiri99
事件損益
-$9.64
成交量
$554.00
持倉數
Milwaukee Brewers
384
38791873984189
事件損益
-$3.94
成交量
$402.53
持倉數
Milwaukee BrewersBaltimore OriolesMilwaukee Brewers
9C5
0x9c35…31c4
事件損益
-$14.77
成交量
$227.27
持倉數
Baltimore Orioles
SE6
selbywest
事件損益
+$1.00
成交量
$200.00
持倉數
Baltimore Orioles
5C7
0x5c54…f1d2
事件損益
+$14.77
成交量
$192.79
持倉數
Milwaukee Brewers
BZ8
bzglt
事件損益
-$1.30
成交量
$180.92
持倉數
Baltimore Orioles

常見問題

目前市場對「Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.5 以 8,750% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5(8,150%),以及 Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5(7,900%)。該市場總成交量已達 $237K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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