Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

$339.8K Vol
2026年9月22日
Active
機率趨勢
Miami Marlins 61.5%
Arizona Diamondbacks 35.5%

核心摘要

根據「Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 9,390% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 9.5 以 8,300% 位居第二,O/U 10.5 以 7,600% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $339.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 8.5 (9,390%):O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,390¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $18.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 9.5 (8,300%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 9.5 保持著 8,300% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,300¢。
  • O/U 10.5 (7,600%):以 7,600% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 10.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (6,850%)、O/U 11.5 (5,700%),以及 Spread -1.5 (5,250%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Extra Innings 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 8.59390.0%$18.5K9390¢-9290¢
2O/U 9.58300.0%$2.4K8300¢-8200¢
3O/U 10.57600.0%$637600¢-7500¢
4Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks6850.0%$323.5K6850¢-6750¢
5O/U 11.55700.0%$1585700¢-5600¢
6Spread -1.55250.0%$2.4K5250¢-5150¢
7Extra Innings5050.0%$135050¢-4950¢
81st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$485000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$485000¢-4900¢
10Spread -2.53400.0%$1.5K3400¢-3300¢
11Spread -1.51350.0%$2.4K1350¢-1250¢
12Spread -2.5800.0%$1.5K800¢-700¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for September 14 at 9:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 14, 2026

  • 10:19 AM
    NInigiri99
    $4.70

    Bought 10 Over for Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 at 0.47

  • 10:11 AM
    WUWulfstan
    $6.43

    Bought 10.046875 Miami Marlins for Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 09:55 AM
    POPoetry
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 Over for Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 09:54 AM
    NInigiri99
    $5.17

    Bought 11 Over for Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 at 0.47

  • 09:24 AM
    NEnemed
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 Arizona Diamondbacks for Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks at 0.55

  • 09:09 AM
    ALalandestroy
    $1,244.93

    Bought 2263.509091 Arizona Diamondbacks for Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks at 0.55

  • 08:56 AM
    ZZZzzz87
    $2,622.00

    Bought 5700 Miami Marlins for Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks at 0.46

  • 08:56 AM
    ZZZzzz87
    $920.46

    Bought 2001 Miami Marlins for Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks at 0.46

  • 08:35 AM
    0X0xc92CA3e01ad489f732550B0912991d7beFFb6f15-1770260769185
    $80.00

    Bought 145.454546 Over for Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 08:27 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $44.64

    Bought 99.2 Miami Marlins for Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks at 0.45

  • 08:26 AM
    HOHospicio
    $1.01

    Bought 1.402778 Arizona Diamondbacks for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) at 0.72

  • 08:17 AM
    FUfunnyday
    $13.50

    Bought 30 Miami Marlins for Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks at 0.45

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

PL1
pleaseplease123
事件損益
-$44,684.43
成交量
$156,023.94
持倉數
Arizona Diamondbacks
MO2
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件損益
+$36.20
成交量
$79,449.33
持倉數
Miami Marlins
DO3
Donkey14
事件損益
+$12,666.67
成交量
$44,444.44
持倉數
Miami Marlins
HM4
HMLSF
事件損益
+$5,303.26
成交量
$19,284.51
持倉數
Miami Marlins
175
0x17C4…2121
事件損益
-$5,655.72
成交量
$16,393.44
持倉數
Arizona Diamondbacks
JO6
Jooboo123
事件損益
-$3,109.08
成交量
$10,909.09
持倉數
Arizona Diamondbacks
327
0x32b4…3653
事件損益
+$2,970.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持倉數
Miami Marlins
AN8
AnonymousUsername
事件損益
+$1,683.37
成交量
$9,681.00
持倉數
Miami MarlinsUnderUnder+2

常見問題

目前市場對「Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 8.5 以 9,390% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 9.5(8,300%),以及 O/U 10.5(7,600%)。該市場總成交量已達 $339.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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