Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

$190K Vol
2026年9月16日
Active
機率趨勢
Cleveland Guardians 100.0%
Baltimore Orioles 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -1.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $190K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (9,995%):Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $137.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -1.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -3.5 (9,995%)、Extra Innings (50%),以及 O/U 16.5 (50%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 15.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles9995.0%$137.9K9995¢-9895¢
2Spread -1.59995.0%$4289995¢-9895¢
3Spread -2.59995.0%$2.1K9995¢-9895¢
4Spread -3.59995.0%$2.5K9995¢-9895¢
5Extra Innings50.0%50¢50¢
6O/U 16.550.0%$350¢50¢
7O/U 15.550.0%$250¢50¢
8O/U 14.545.0%$58945¢55¢
9Spread -6.535.0%35¢65¢
10Spread -1.55.0%$42895¢
11Spread -2.55.0%$2.1K95¢
12Spread -4.55.0%$4.1K95¢
13Spread -5.55.0%$90695¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 8 at 6:35PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 8, 2026

  • 11:19 PM
    1M1MillionInc
    $1.00

    Bought 1.190475 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.84

  • 11:19 PM
    5F5f5a
    $2.08

    Sold 13 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.16

  • 11:19 PM
    5F5f5a
    $26.04

    Bought 31 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.84

  • 11:19 PM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 1.190475 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.84

  • 11:19 PM
    USUser7429
    $35.38

    Bought 42.119043 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.84

  • 11:19 PM
    ZUzusu
    $1.50

    Bought 1.666667 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.9

  • 11:18 PM
    IDiDarkPro0
    $3.96

    Bought 4 Cleveland Guardians for Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) at 0.99

  • 11:16 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.23

    Bought 11.962963 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 at 0.27

  • 11:13 PM
    PEpengu-n
    $1.50

    Bought 6 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.25

  • 11:12 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $3.95

    Bought 5.129869 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.77

  • 11:08 PM
    0X0x8c9203b3766a9406D2eF1A7C723fdd2c8DD47438-1779127997740
    $3.16

    Sold 3.63 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.87

  • 11:07 PM
    WRWreckedBag
    $1.05

    Bought 9.59 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.11

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SD1
SDTrading
事件損益
+$152.72
成交量
$30,538.87
持倉數
Cleveland Guardians
322
0x32b4…3653
事件損益
-$100.00
成交量
$20,000.00
持倉數
Baltimore Orioles
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
+$98.47
成交量
$11,840.48
持倉數
Under
AN4
AnonymousUsername
事件損益
-$22.91
成交量
$8,803.57
持倉數
OverBaltimore OriolesYes
VE5
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$36.02
成交量
$7,878.23
持倉數
Baltimore OriolesYesBaltimore Orioles
586
0x5811…6071
事件損益
-$4.85
成交量
$5,453.38
持倉數
Baltimore OriolesOverOver+1
HO7
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$29.43
成交量
$5,385.15
持倉數
UnderUnderUnder+1
A68
0xa697…6031
事件損益
-$5.51
成交量
$4,416.82
持倉數
OverBaltimore OriolesOver

常見問題

目前市場對「Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -2.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $190K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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