Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

$190.7K Vol
2026年9月27日
Active
機率趨勢
Tampa Bay Rays 57.5%
Boston Red Sox 42.5%

核心摘要

根據「Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 以壓倒性的 7,650% 獲勝機率主導市場;1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 7,150% 位居第二,Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 以 7,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $190.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 (7,650%):Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,650¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,150%):作為最可行的替代選項,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 保持著 7,150% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,150¢。
  • Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 (7,000%):以 7,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Boston Red Sox O/U 2.5 (6,200%)、1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,700%),以及 Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.5 (5,600%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 NRFI 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Boston Red Sox O/U 1.57650.0%7650¢-7550¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.57150.0%7150¢-7050¢
3Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.57000.0%7000¢-6900¢
4Boston Red Sox O/U 2.56200.0%6200¢-6100¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 3.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
6Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.55600.0%5600¢-5500¢
7NRFI4850.0%$1224850¢-4750¢
8O/U 7.54750.0%$87.1K4750¢-4650¢
9Boston Red Sox O/U 3.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 4.54350.0%$44350¢-4250¢
11Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays4250.0%$70.0K4250¢-4150¢
12O/U 8.54250.0%$34.3K4250¢-4150¢
13Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
14Spread -1.53950.0%$1.1K3950¢-3850¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -1.53550.0%$53550¢-3450¢
16Boston Red Sox O/U 4.53400.0%3400¢-3300¢
17O/U 9.53250.0%$1.8K3250¢-3150¢
181st 5 Innings O/U 5.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
19Tampa Bay Rays O/U 6.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
20Tampa Bay Rays O/U 5.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
21Spread -1.52950.0%$1.1K2950¢-2850¢
22Spread -2.52850.0%$1342850¢-2750¢
23Boston Red Sox O/U 5.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
241st 5 Innings O/U 6.52300.0%2300¢-2200¢
251st 5 Innings Spread -1.52200.0%$52200¢-2100¢
26Spread -2.52100.0%$1342100¢-2000¢
27Extra Innings1000.0%1000¢-900¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 20 at 1:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 20, 2026

  • 11:16 AM
    MEmercury777
    $320.00

    Bought 1000 Boston Red Sox for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) at 0.32

  • 11:14 AM
    MEmercury777
    $484.50

    Bought 850 Over for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.57

  • 11:12 AM
    0X0xc92CA3e01ad489f732550B0912991d7beFFb6f15-1770260769185
    $100.00

    Bought 175.438597 Over for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.57

  • 10:59 AM
    MEmercury777
    $53.69

    Bought 95.87 Over for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.56

  • 09:54 AM
    BZbzglt
    $150.00

    Bought 258.62069 Tampa Bay Rays for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.58

  • 09:54 AM
    BZbzglt
    $150.00

    Bought 258.62069 Tampa Bay Rays for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.58

  • 09:52 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanes
    $20.00

    Bought 34.482759 Tampa Bay Rays for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.58

  • 09:40 AM
    0X0xb43e8032DA38c493878d0cE2BaA56da356B78200-1781110560945
    $32.81

    Bought 76.3 Boston Red Sox for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.43

  • 09:20 AM
    YOYosooooooo
    $2.00

    Bought 3.448276 Tampa Bay Rays for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.58

  • 09:10 AM
    YEyeawn
    $20.00

    Bought 46.511628 Boston Red Sox for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.43

  • 09:04 AM
    NInigiri99
    $16.43

    Bought 31 Under for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.53

  • 08:54 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $23.40

    Bought 30 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) at 0.78

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

PL1
pleaseplease123
事件損益
+$2,057.31
成交量
$85,870.47
持倉數
UnderUnder
WR2
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件損益
+$273.15
成交量
$48,614.29
持倉數
Tampa Bay RaysUnder
DO3
Donkey14
事件損益
-$232.56
成交量
$46,511.62
持倉數
Boston Red Sox
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
-$260.13
成交量
$20,755.23
持倉數
OverBoston Red SoxOver
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$144.21
成交量
$18,641.30
持倉數
OverUnderTampa Bay Rays+1
MO6
mooseborzoi
事件損益
+$168.07
成交量
$16,819.32
持倉數
UnderTampa Bay RaysUnder+1
NI7
nigiri99
事件損益
-$53.97
成交量
$14,705.21
持倉數
OverTampa Bay RaysUnder+2
AN8
AnonymousUsername
事件損益
-$152.97
成交量
$10,681.00
持倉數
OverOverTampa Bay Rays+2

常見問題

目前市場對「Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 以 7,650% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5(7,150%),以及 Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5(7,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $190.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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