Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

$332.6K Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
機率趨勢
Atlanta Braves 89.5%
Miami Marlins 10.5%

核心摘要

根據「Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 7.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 以 9,965% 位居第二,Miami Marlins O/U 1.5 以 9,965% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $332.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 7.5 (9,995%):O/U 7.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $2.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 (9,965%):作為最可行的替代選項,1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 保持著 9,965% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,965¢。
  • Miami Marlins O/U 1.5 (9,965%):以 9,965% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Miami Marlins O/U 1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 8.5 (9,300%)、Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins (9,150%),以及 Spread -1.5 (8,150%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 9.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 7.59995.0%$2.2K9995¢-9895¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 6.59965.0%—9965¢-9865¢
3Miami Marlins O/U 1.59965.0%—9965¢-9865¢
4O/U 8.59300.0%$74.4K9300¢-9200¢
5Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins9150.0%$227.4K9150¢-9050¢
6Spread -1.58150.0%$6848150¢-8050¢
7O/U 9.58100.0%$2.5K8100¢-8000¢
8O/U 10.57850.0%$147850¢-7750¢
9Spread -2.57150.0%$9.7K7150¢-7050¢
10Spread -3.55750.0%$6.0K5750¢-5650¢
11O/U 11.55050.0%$1.0K5050¢-4950¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Extra Innings5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Atlanta Braves O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Miami Marlins O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Miami Marlins O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Miami Marlins O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Miami Marlins O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Spread -4.53850.0%$383850¢-3750¢
22O/U 12.53650.0%$7403650¢-3550¢
23Spread -5.52700.0%$382700¢-2600¢
24Spread -1.5350.0%$684350¢-250¢
25Spread -2.5300.0%$9.7K300¢-200¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 26 at 4:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 12:32 PM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $2.35

    Bought 5 Under for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.47

  • 12:22 PM
    FIfizzwont
    $42.30

    Bought 78.333334 Over for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.54

  • 11:51 AM
    AEAerodiavolo
    $193.56

    Bought 328.063832 Miami Marlins for Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) at 0.59

  • 10:07 AM
    ILilovegd
    $6.00

    Bought 13.043479 Miami Marlins for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.46

  • 10:01 AM
    RIRicardoRoberto
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 Miami Marlins for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.46

  • 09:47 AM
    4545hbjn
    $10.58

    Bought 23 Miami Marlins for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.46

  • 09:47 AM
    JHjhgbhj12
    $12.65

    Bought 23 Atlanta Braves for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.55

  • 09:36 AM
    ANAntonyHokins
    $1.03

    Bought 1.634921 Under for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 0.63

  • 08:55 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $56.16

    Bought 108 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.52

  • 08:33 AM
    NEnemed
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 Atlanta Braves for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.55

  • 08:33 AM
    NInigiri99
    $16.12

    Bought 31 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.52

  • 08:31 AM
    NInigiri99
    $30.68

    Bought 59 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.52

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

IM1
imjustkenisghey
事件損益
-$90.78
成交量
$6,052.11
持倉數
Atlanta Braves
MA2
MAGATheeStallion
事件損益
+$66.74
成交量
$4,260.04
持倉數
Miami Marlins
663
0x661f…098a
事件損益
-$20.83
成交量
$4,166.65
持倉數
Yes
NI4
nigiri99
事件損益
+$19.26
成交量
$4,031.00
持倉數
No
NA5
naturalbornchiller
事件損益
+$31.91
成交量
$2,127.00
持倉數
Miami Marlins
A36
0xa3B5…0736
事件損益
+$19.50
成交量
$1,300.00
持倉數
Miami Marlins
327
0x32b4…3653
事件損益
-$19.36
成交量
$1,290.72
持倉數
Atlanta Braves
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$2.18
成交量
$435.64
持倉數
Atlanta Braves

常見問題

目前市場對「Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 7.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5(9,965%),以及 Miami Marlins O/U 1.5(9,965%)。該市場總成交量已達 $332.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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