LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs

$191.3K Vol
2026年9月18日
Active
機率趨勢
JD Gaming 61.5%
Team WE 38.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以壓倒性的 7,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,750% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,750% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $191.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,050%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $13.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,750%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持著 6,750% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,750¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,750%):以 6,750% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,750%)、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? (6,750%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,700%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7050.0%$13.3K7050¢-6950¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon6700.0%6700¢-6600¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon6700.0%6700¢-6600¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?6650.0%6650¢-6550¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?6250.0%6250¢-6150¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5900.0%5900¢-5800¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5850.0%5850¢-5750¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
19First Blood in Game 4?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
26First Blood in Game 1?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
27First Blood in Game 2?4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
28First Blood in Game 3?4700.0%4700¢-4600¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4550.0%4550¢-4450¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
31Game 4 Winner4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
32Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4250.0%$974250¢-4150¢
33Game 1 Winner4150.0%$19.3K4150¢-4050¢
34Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)4150.0%$5.7K4150¢-4050¢
35Game 2 Winner4050.0%$8.5K4050¢-3950¢
36Game 3 Winner4050.0%$8.5K4050¢-3950¢
37Match Winner3850.0%$129.7K3850¢-3750¢
38O/U 4.5 Games3300.0%$11.7K3300¢-3200¢
39Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
40Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
41Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
42Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
43Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
44Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
45Any Player Quadra Kill2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
46Any Player Quadra Kill2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
47Any Player Quadra Kill2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
48Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2000.0%2000¢-1900¢
50Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)1750.0%$4281750¢-1650¢
51Any Player Penta Kill1500.0%1500¢-1400¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Team WE and JD Gaming in the LPL Regional Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Team WE.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 17, 2026

  • 09:28 PM
    $17.76

    Bought 45.538462 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.39

  • 09:27 PM
    SUsuntori
    $2,873.73

    Bought 4635.048386 JD Gaming for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.62

  • 09:26 PM
    SESecuredFutureKFE
    $25.74

    Bought 66 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.39

  • 09:26 PM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $2.05

    Bought 5 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner at 0.41

  • 09:26 PM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $2.05

    Bought 5 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.41

  • 09:25 PM
    APApuh4
    $2.05

    Bought 5 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.41

  • 09:25 PM
    APApuh4
    $2.05

    Bought 5 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner at 0.41

  • 09:25 PM
    APApuh4
    $2.05

    Bought 5 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.41

  • 09:25 PM
    IGigot50k
    $165.64

    Bought 404 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner at 0.41

  • 09:25 PM
    IGigot50k
    $165.64

    Bought 404 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.41

  • 09:25 PM
    IGigot50k
    $156.81

    Bought 382.47 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.41

  • 09:25 PM
    HOhorwx
    $1.90

    Bought 4.871795 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.39

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

TH1
therealdragonwarrior
事件損益
+$198.40
成交量
$23,651.98
持倉數
JD Gaming
VI2
vibing123
事件損益
+$73.96
成交量
$10,371.43
持倉數
JD Gaming
DR3
drunkdegenerate
事件損益
+$50.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持倉數
JD Gaming
NO4
no1dodgersfan
事件損益
-$41.97
成交量
$9,145.61
持倉數
Team WETeam WEJD Gaming
TI5
TIENWEI
事件損益
-$107.82
成交量
$7,188.14
持倉數
Team WE
SU6
suntori
事件損益
-$72.68
成交量
$6,627.42
持倉數
JD GamingTeam WEUnder
GT7
gthertert
事件損益
+$32.55
成交量
$6,508.87
持倉數
JD Gaming
ZZ8
Zzzz87
事件損益
+$27.73
成交量
$6,119.00
持倉數
JD GamingTeam WE

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,750%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,750%)。該市場總成交量已達 $191.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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