LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$118.6K Vol
2026年10月5日
Active
機率趨勢
LYON 55.5%
Team Liquid 44.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以壓倒性的 7,350% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 以 5,800% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? 以 5,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $118.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,350%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,350¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $1.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (5,800%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 保持著 5,800% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,800¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? (5,550%):以 5,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Odd/Even Total Kills (5,350%)、Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%),以及 Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Quadra Kill 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7350.0%$1.3K7350¢-7250¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?5550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills5350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
5Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?4950.0%$10.0K4950¢-4850¢
29First Blood in Game 2?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
30Game 1 Winner4850.0%$9994850¢-4750¢
31Game 2 Winner4850.0%$54850¢-4750¢
32Game 3 Winner4850.0%$304850¢-4750¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
34First Blood in Game 1?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
35First Blood in Game 3?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
36First Blood in Game 4?4850.0%$854850¢-4750¢
37Odd/Even Total Kills4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
38Odd/Even Total Kills4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
39Game 4 Winner4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
40Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
41Match Winner4350.0%$90.6K4350¢-4250¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?4250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?4050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?3950.0%$63950¢-3850¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?3850.0%$12.0K3850¢-3750¢
47Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)3700.0%$3.0K3700¢-3600¢
48O/U 4.5 Games3550.0%$4163550¢-3450¢
49Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
50Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
51Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?3050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
52Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
53Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
54Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
55Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)1700.0%$1001700¢-1600¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Team Liquid and LYON in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against LYON.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Team Liquid.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 4, 2026

  • 01:10 PM
    0X0xkirk
    $27.50

    Bought 50 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

  • 01:03 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.85

    Bought 5.181817 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

  • 12:46 PM
    ATathadi2
    $16.55

    Bought 30.090908 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

  • 12:46 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $140.95

    Bought 306.413044 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.46

  • 12:43 PM
    LTlthasd
    $17.50

    Bought 50 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) at 0.35

  • 12:42 PM
    LTlthasd
    $55.00

    Bought 100 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

  • 12:40 PM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $58.67

    Bought 81.48 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.72

  • 12:36 PM
    LTlthasd
    $18.00

    Bought 100 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) at 0.18

  • 12:17 PM
    ATathadi2
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

  • 12:17 PM
    MTMTiCrew
    $6.53

    Sold 12.09 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.54

  • 12:17 PM
    SWswitch00
    $100.00

    Bought 181.818182 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

  • 12:01 PM
    ATathadi2
    $8.49

    Bought 15.436364 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,350% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?(5,800%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?(5,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $118.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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