LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

$62.6K Vol
2026年9月8日
Active
機率趨勢
T1 Academy 62.5%
KT Rolster Challengers 37.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以壓倒性的 6,850% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,400% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,400% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $62.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (6,850%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,850¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $1.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,400%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持著 6,400% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,400¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,400%):以 6,400% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,400%)、Match Winner (6,250%),以及 Game 4 Winner (5,450%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Game 1 Winner 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games6850.0%$1.9K6850¢-6750¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6400.0%6400¢-6300¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6400.0%6400¢-6300¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6400.0%6400¢-6300¢
5Match Winner6250.0%$20.9K6250¢-6150¢
6Game 4 Winner5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
7Game 1 Winner5350.0%$11.7K5350¢-5250¢
8Game 2 Winner5350.0%$7.8K5350¢-5250¢
9Game 3 Winner5350.0%$8.1K5350¢-5250¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)4450.0%$9.5K4450¢-4350¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
25Both Teams Slay a Dragon4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
26O/U 4.5 Games3250.0%$1.8K3250¢-3150¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
28Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
30Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
31Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
33Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
35Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
36Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
37Any Player Penta Kill2100.0%2100¢-2000¢
38Any Player Penta Kill2100.0%2100¢-2000¢
39Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+2.5)2050.0%$9832050¢-1950¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between T1 Academy and KT Rolster Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win the match against KT Rolster Challengers.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win the match against T1 Academy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 7, 2026

  • 08:38 PM
    CHcharay12
    $17.94

    Bought 39 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner at 0.46

  • 08:38 PM
    KIkishkatonka777
    $1.98

    Bought 6 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.33

  • 08:37 PM
    MNmnogonado
    $484.87

    Bought 932.45 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner at 0.52

  • 08:37 PM
    T0t00000000
    $330.00

    Bought 600 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner at 0.55

  • 08:37 PM
    KAkantesher
    $9.60

    Bought 30 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.32

  • 08:37 PM
    4T4TheWin2
    $5.20

    Bought 10 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner at 0.52

  • 08:37 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.69

  • 08:37 PM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $514.59

    Bought 1715.3 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.3

  • 08:37 PM
    LMlmtscapt
    $8.25

    Bought 15 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner at 0.55

  • 08:37 PM
    KIkishkatonka777
    $6.62

    Bought 14.711112 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner at 0.45

  • 08:37 PM
    KIkishkatonka777
    $6.63

    Bought 14.413044 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner at 0.46

  • 08:37 PM
    KOkongkongshi
    $7.99

    Bought 15.365385 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner at 0.52

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

071
0x076d…8d4c
事件損益
-$64.37
成交量
$6,143.96
持倉數
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers
GO2
Gooooooollllllllll
事件損益
+$4.81
成交量
$3,685.98
持倉數
T1 Academy
SK3
SkyCapital71
事件損益
-$30.27
成交量
$1,856.71
持倉數
T1 Academy
RA4
Rayaya
事件損益
+$0.89
成交量
$1,499.80
持倉數
T1 Academy
NO5
notoriousdo
事件損益
+$7.00
成交量
$1,400.00
持倉數
T1 Academy
NE6
neutralwave23
事件損益
-$9.13
成交量
$1,197.09
持倉數
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers+1
FU7
Fusko
事件損益
-$4.83
成交量
$1,169.95
持倉數
T1 AcademyT1 Academy
FB8
0xfB07…2542
事件損益
+$20.00
成交量
$1,000.00
持倉數
KT Rolster Challengers

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 6,850% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,400%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,400%)。該市場總成交量已達 $62.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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