LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs

$116.4K Vol
2026年9月30日
Active
機率趨勢
T1 Academy 59.5%
Galions 40.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以壓倒性的 7,150% 獲勝機率主導市場;Match Winner 以 5,950% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? 以 5,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $116.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,150%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,150¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $63 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Match Winner (5,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Match Winner 保持著 5,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,950¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? (5,950%):以 5,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Game 4 Winner (5,850%)、Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? (5,650%),以及 Game 2 Winner (5,400%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3? 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7150.0%$637150¢-7050¢
2Match Winner5950.0%$81.1K5950¢-5850¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
4Game 4 Winner5850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?5650.0%$2.4K5650¢-5550¢
6Game 2 Winner5400.0%$11.3K5400¢-5300¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?5400.0%$2.1K5400¢-5300¢
8Game 3 Winner5350.0%$3.2K5350¢-5250¢
9Game 1 Winner5300.0%$13.7K5300¢-5200¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
44Odd/Even Total Kills4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?4600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?4350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4?4200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
48Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)4100.0%$6.0K4100¢-4000¢
49Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?3950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
50Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 3?3950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
51O/U 4.5 Games3450.0%$1323450¢-3350¢
52Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
53Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
54Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
55Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Galions (+2.5)1900.0%$51900¢-1800¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between T1 Academy and Galions in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win the match against Galions.

This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against T1 Academy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 29, 2026

  • 11:51 AM
    BYBYTasb1
    $363.00

    Bought 595.081966 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.61

  • 11:50 AM
    BYBYTasb1
    $360.00

    Bought 590.163935 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.61

  • 11:50 AM
    SAsajat5mm
    $7.18

    Bought 17.95 Galions for LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.4

  • 11:50 AM
    BYBYTasb1
    $360.00

    Bought 590.163935 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.61

  • 11:48 AM
    BYBYTasb1
    $350.00

    Bought 573.770492 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.61

  • 11:29 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.639343 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.61

  • 10:29 AM
    CRCrabfestival
    $6.73

    Sold 11.21 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.6

  • 10:08 AM
    CScsgamer11
    $450.50

    Bought 738.524589 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.61

  • 10:08 AM
    CScsgamer11
    $442.83

    Bought 738.044589 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.6

  • 10:05 AM
    CScsgamer11
    $437.30

    Bought 728.833332 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.6

  • 09:52 AM
    0X0x334DE55Eb688d474F5915AA083acfBe7836546C1-1778926299127
    $24.54

    Bought 40.9 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.6

  • 09:39 AM
    BEbepapa
    $3.55

    Bought 5.916667 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.6

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

FO1
FORTNITEMASTER888
事件損益
+$231.05
成交量
$26,843.33
持倉數
T1 Academy
RE2
RevengeRange
事件損益
+$16.93
成交量
$16,366.64
持倉數
Galions
5B3
0x5b10…9314
事件損益
-$150.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持倉數
Galions
694
0x6918…0027
事件損益
-$42.28
成交量
$9,627.08
持倉數
GalionsGalionsGalions
SI5
sippingcoffee
事件損益
+$56.69
成交量
$8,082.32
持倉數
T1 AcademyT1 AcademyT1 Academy
AM6
am100
事件損益
-$95.47
成交量
$7,827.99
持倉數
GalionsGalionsGalions
ZH7
zhutianwei1
事件損益
-$35.78
成交量
$7,155.42
持倉數
T1 Academy
OM8
omnibus-076daa
事件損益
+$34.49
成交量
$6,897.68
持倉數
Galions

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,150% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Match Winner(5,950%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?(5,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $116.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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