LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

$560.2K Vol
2026年10月11日
Active
機率趨勢
Solary 90.5%
G2 NORD 9.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game 3 Winner 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 3.5 Games 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $560.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):Game 1 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $196.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game 3 Winner 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 3.5 Games 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Match Winner (9,600%)、Game 4 Winner (9,050%),以及 Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) (9,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 First Blood in Game 1? 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$196.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 3 Winner9995.0%$83.8K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$14.6K9995¢-9895¢
4Match Winner9600.0%$88.5K9600¢-9500¢
5Game 4 Winner9050.0%$24.0K9050¢-8950¢
6Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)9050.0%$18.6K9050¢-8950¢
7First Blood in Game 1?5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
9First Blood in Game 4?5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
31First Blood in Game 2?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
32First Blood in Game 3?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
33Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4845.0%—4845¢-4745¢
34Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
35Any Player Quadra Kill4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
36Any Player Penta Kill4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
37Odd/Even Total Kills4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
38Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
39Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
40Both Teams Slay a Dragon4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
41O/U 4.5 Games950.0%$1.9K950¢-850¢
42Game 2 Winner5.0%$109.7K5¢95¢
43Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5)5.0%$22.9K5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between Solary and G2 NORD in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win the match against G2 NORD.

This market will resolve to "G2 NORD" if G2 NORD win the match against Solary.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 01:48 PM
    COcooljit
    $35.52

    Bought 95.99 Solary for Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5) at 0.37

  • 01:44 PM
    LALakan
    $40.00

    Bought 59.701493 Solary for Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 01:36 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $7.41

    Bought 11.0597 Solary for Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 01:35 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $33.83

    Bought 91.432433 Solary for Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5) at 0.37

  • 01:08 PM
    TUtuzology
    $174.96

    Bought 216 Solary for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.81

  • 01:04 PM
    Q1q136084
    $340.92

    Bought 501.35294 Solary for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner at 0.68

  • 01:04 PM
    LULuffyDave
    $1.08

    Bought 1.588234 Solary for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner at 0.68

  • 01:03 PM
    MJMJ1337
    $58.20

    Bought 181.88 G2 NORD for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner at 0.32

  • 01:03 PM
    MJMJ1337
    $29.00

    Bought 152.63 G2 NORD for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.19

  • 12:56 PM
    SMsmokeyy001
    $5.00

    Bought 7.8125 G2 NORD for Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5) at 0.64

  • 12:35 PM
    PWPwwo
    $4.10

    Bought 5 Solary for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.82

  • 12:35 PM
    ——
    $13.54

    Bought 71.263158 G2 NORD for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.19

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

691
0x6918…0027
事件損益
+$132.47
成交量
$16,844.60
持倉數
G2 NORDG2 NORDG2 NORD+3
GA2
galaktika123
事件損益
-$58.00
成交量
$11,599.99
持倉數
Solary
AM3
am100
事件損益
+$103.69
成交量
$9,228.07
持倉數
G2 NORDG2 NORDG2 NORD+4
NE4
neutralwave23
事件損益
-$147.44
成交量
$5,220.36
持倉數
SolarySolary
BL5
blancnoirchat
事件損益
-$9.93
成交量
$4,600.29
持倉數
SolaryUnderSolary+1
TH6
THEHIGHLIFE
事件損益
-$15.13
成交量
$3,659.65
持倉數
G2 NORD
VE7
VeryLucky888
事件損益
-$1.33
成交量
$3,531.09
持倉數
SolarySolarySolary+1
AN8
antec
事件損益
-$3.03
成交量
$3,244.35
持倉數
SolarySolarySolary+5

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game 3 Winner(9,995%),以及 O/U 3.5 Games(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $560.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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