LoL: Solary vs Barça eSports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage

$148.7K Vol
2026年10月5日
Active
機率趨勢
Solary 99.6%
Barça eSports 0.4%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Solary vs Barça eSports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 位居第二,Game 3 Winner 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $148.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):Game 1 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $12.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game 2 Winner 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Game 3 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Match Winner (9,995%)、Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5) (9,995%),以及 Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5) (9,995%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Odd/Even Total Kills 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$12.9K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$31.0K9995¢-9895¢
3Game 3 Winner9995.0%$35.4K9995¢-9895¢
4Match Winner9995.0%$29.1K9995¢-9895¢
5Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)9995.0%$9859995¢-9895¢
6Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5)9995.0%$20.6K9995¢-9895¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
12Game 4 Winner5050.0%$7.3K5050¢-4950¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
28Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
30Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
32Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
33Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
35Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
36Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
37Odd/Even Total Kills900.0%—900¢-800¢
38O/U 3.5 Games5.0%$10.2K5¢95¢
39O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$1.1K5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL match between Solary and Barça eSports in the EMEA Masters Knockout Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win the match against Barça eSports.

This market will resolve to "Barça eSports" if Barça eSports win the match against Solary.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 4, 2026

  • 12:35 PM
    ——
    $4.84

    Bought 8.06 Solary for Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5) at 0.6

  • 12:35 PM
    LTlthasd
    $15.00

    Bought 25 Solary for Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5) at 0.6

  • 12:30 PM
    0X0x30000FCb38eadAE30FB956039Ff1f135E26C1E84-1787208120661
    $3.00

    Bought 7.142858 Barça eSports for Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5) at 0.42

  • 12:30 PM
    AMam100
    $107.38

    Bought 178.96 Solary for Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5) at 0.6

  • 12:30 PM
    SUsuperaiapi
    $1.19

    Bought 2.833334 Barça eSports for Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5) at 0.42

  • 12:25 PM
    KAKAKTYS911292
    $8.09

    Bought 101.15875 Barça eSports for LoL: Solary vs Barça eSports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage at 0.08

  • 12:20 PM
    YUYukihiranokoX
    $4.93

    Bought 70.428572 Barça eSports for LoL: Solary vs Barça eSports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage at 0.07

  • 12:11 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $33.46

    Bought 239 Barça eSports for Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5) at 0.14

  • 12:11 PM
    SMsm8926523
    $4.72

    Bought 5.43 Solary for Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5) at 0.87

  • 12:11 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $6.53

    Bought 40.83 Barça eSports for LoL: Solary vs Barça eSports - Game 3 Winner at 0.16

  • 11:57 AM
    BLblancnoirchat
    $8.90

    Bought 10 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.89

  • 11:50 AM
    GOGordon-Gekko
    $4.96

    Bought 8 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.62

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

691
0x6918…0027
事件損益
+$51.60
成交量
$11,768.59
持倉數
SolaryUnderSolary+3
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
-$201.44
成交量
$10,290.21
持倉數
Barça eSports
043
0x048f…9992
事件損益
-$22.99
成交量
$9,999.95
持倉數
Barça eSportsBarça eSportsBarça eSports+1
SU4
Sunshine.Smile
事件損益
+$860.07
成交量
$9,742.10
持倉數
SolarySolary
OW5
owlgorithm-beta
事件損益
+$5.23
成交量
$8,910.86
持倉數
SolarySolarySolary
BE6
Bettong
事件損益
+$849.57
成交量
$7,782.19
持倉數
SolarySolary
IN7
InterzoneCo
事件損益
+$3.06
成交量
$6,505.01
持倉數
SolarySolarySolary+3
FB8
0xfB07…2542
事件損益
+$25.97
成交量
$6,033.58
持倉數
Barça eSportsOverBarça eSports

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Solary vs Barça eSports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game 2 Winner(9,995%),以及 Game 3 Winner(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $148.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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