LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A

$320.6K Vol
2026年9月22日
Active
機率趨勢
Skillcamp Esport 100.0%
Arctic Pandas 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Match Winner 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $320.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):Game 1 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $27.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Match Winner (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Match Winner 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 2.5 Games 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,995%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,950%),以及 Odd/Even Total Kills (9,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Quadra Kill 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$27.8K9995¢-9895¢
2Match Winner9995.0%$210.7K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$2.0K9995¢-9895¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills9050.0%$669050¢-8950¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
8Any Player Penta Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
10Any Player Penta Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors150.0%150¢-50¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill150.0%150¢-50¢
13Any Player Penta Kill150.0%150¢-50¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor150.0%150¢-50¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon150.0%150¢-50¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors150.0%150¢-50¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills145.0%$66145¢-45¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills100.0%$66100¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%50¢50¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%50¢50¢
21Game 2 Winner5.0%$66.6K95¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5.0%95¢
23Game Handicap: SC (-1.5) vs Arctic Pandas (+1.5)5.0%$13.3K95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between Skillcamp Esport and Arctic Pandas in the EMEA Masters Group A, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Skillcamp Esport" if Skillcamp Esport win the match against Arctic Pandas.

This market will resolve to "Arctic Pandas" if Arctic Pandas win the match against Skillcamp Esport.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 21, 2026

  • 11:12 AM
    DODOGOK1NG
    $4.60

    Bought 5 Skillcamp Esport for LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A at 0.92

  • 11:11 AM
    TItinashi1199zz
    $376.80

    Bought 409.561042 Skillcamp Esport for LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A at 0.92

  • 11:11 AM
    DODOGOK1NG
    $9.10

    Bought 10 Skillcamp Esport for LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A at 0.91

  • 11:11 AM
    DODOGOK1NG
    $15.64

    Bought 17 Skillcamp Esport for LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A at 0.92

  • 11:09 AM
    FRFraetos
    $1.00

    Bought 1.08695 Skillcamp Esport for LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A at 0.92

  • 11:09 AM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $0.36

    Bought 5.11 Arctic Pandas for LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A at 0.07

  • 11:09 AM
    DOdoglover4571
    $1.75

    Bought 25 Arctic Pandas for LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A at 0.07

  • 11:06 AM
    BLbloodmaster
    $4.00

    Bought 5 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.8

  • 11:04 AM
    SASamedtahri
    $3.06

    Bought 14.59 Arctic Pandas for Game Handicap: SC (-1.5) vs Arctic Pandas (+1.5) at 0.21

  • 11:03 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.93

    Bought 27.536232 Arctic Pandas for LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A at 0.07

  • 10:57 AM
    0X0x012D83ceB6B39b7431284d6DDe0BE72350019dB6-1766507110243
    $37.20

    Bought 40 Skillcamp Esport for LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A at 0.93

  • 10:47 AM
    $93.00

    Bought 100 Skillcamp Esport for LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A at 0.93

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

BL1
bloodmaster
事件損益
+$51.67
成交量
$66,973.11
持倉數
Skillcamp EsportSkillcamp EsportSkillcamp Esport+2
SI2
SimpleTony
事件損益
+$2,495.04
成交量
$22,229.66
持倉數
Arctic PandasArctic PandasArctic Pandas
EZ3
ezMerge
事件損益
+$10.08
成交量
$19,319.43
持倉數
Skillcamp EsportArctic Pandas
SK4
skadii
事件損益
-$464.10
成交量
$18,712.37
持倉數
Arctic PandasArctic PandasArctic Pandas
NO5
no1dodgersfan
事件損益
-$31.00
成交量
$18,277.40
持倉數
Arctic PandasArctic PandasArctic Pandas+1
B56
0xB595…6105
事件損益
+$427.47
成交量
$17,186.70
持倉數
Skillcamp EsportOver
727
0x72aB…4368
事件損益
-$33.49
成交量
$13,000.00
持倉數
Arctic Pandas
998
999999666544332578855667788
事件損益
-$449.75
成交量
$12,072.67
持倉數
Skillcamp EsportSkillcamp EsportSkillcamp Esport

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Match Winner(9,995%),以及 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $320.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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