LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$240.8K Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
機率趨勢
KT Rolster 96.5%
RED Canids 3.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 8,150% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 5,050% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 以 5,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $240.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) (8,150%):Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,150¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $72.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持著 5,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,050¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (5,050%):以 5,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%)、Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Odd/Even Total Kills 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)8150.0%$72.5K8150¢-8050¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5050.0%$1.6K5050¢-4950¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4850.0%$7024850¢-4750¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3750.0%$1923750¢-3650¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3550.0%$13550¢-3450¢
26Odd/Even Total Kills3300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
27O/U 2.5 Games1850.0%$2.3K1850¢-1750¢
28Any Player Penta Kill1550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
29Game 1 Winner950.0%$26.2K950¢-850¢
30Game 2 Winner950.0%$9.9K950¢-850¢
31Match Winner325.0%$127.3K325¢-225¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between RED Canids and KT Rolster in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against KT Rolster.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against RED Canids.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 4, 2026

  • 01:22 AM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $4.29

    Bought 71.42 RED Canids for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.06

  • 01:22 AM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $2.70

    Bought 44.96 RED Canids for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.06

  • 01:19 AM
    SCSchrodinger1887
    $317.35

    Bought 5289.166667 RED Canids for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.06

  • 01:13 AM
    0X0xeBC628c7aF1Da7fF071cf597448289E4ad62448e-1776472338957
    $181.01

    Bought 3016.833334 RED Canids for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.06

  • 01:07 AM
    THthb9037
    $8.00

    Bought 10 KT Rolster for Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) at 0.8

  • 01:05 AM
    MIminhbhvta
    $299.00

    Bought 314.73684 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.95

  • 12:57 AM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 21.05262 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.95

  • 12:40 AM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $88.00

    Bought 100 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner at 0.88

  • 12:40 AM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $39.11

    Bought 44.44 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner at 0.88

  • 12:40 AM
    DUDubois2
    $440.00

    Bought 500 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner at 0.88

  • 12:40 AM
    DWdwedwd
    $4.40

    Bought 5 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner at 0.88

  • 12:40 AM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $39.11

    Bought 44.44 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner at 0.88

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

991
999999666544332578855667788
事件損益
+$30.00
成交量
$5,999.99
持倉數
KT Rolster
SC2
Schrodinger1887
事件損益
-$26.44
成交量
$5,289.17
持倉數
RED Canids
EB3
0xeBC6…8957
事件損益
-$15.08
成交量
$3,016.83
持倉數
RED Canids
CB4
cbfe5306
事件損益
+$11.79
成交量
$2,356.03
持倉數
KT Rolster
A75
0xa74c…3150
事件損益
-$10.00
成交量
$1,999.96
持倉數
RED Canids
PE6
pegpeg
事件損益
-$8.96
成交量
$1,793.11
持倉數
RED Canids
ED7
Edwardkang3080
事件損益
+$8.00
成交量
$1,600.00
持倉數
KT Rolster
7V8
7ViziCapitale
事件損益
+$7.50
成交量
$1,499.23
持倉數
KT Rolster

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) 以 8,150% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(5,050%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?(5,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $240.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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