LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

$119.2K Vol
2026年10月6日
Active
機率趨勢
Maryville University 96.5%
Zeu5 Esports 3.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game 1 Winner 以 9,605% 位居第二,Match Winner 以 9,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $119.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,995%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,605%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game 1 Winner 保持著 9,605% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,605¢。
  • Match Winner (9,550%):以 9,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Match Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Game 2 Winner (8,400%)、Game 3 Winner (8,150%),以及 Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5) (6,550%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Game 4 Winner 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Game 1 Winner9605.0%$18.5K9605¢-9505¢
3Match Winner9550.0%$53.3K9550¢-9450¢
4Game 2 Winner8400.0%$10.0K8400¢-8300¢
5Game 3 Winner8150.0%$7.7K8150¢-8050¢
6Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5)6550.0%$21.1K6550¢-6450¢
7Game 4 Winner6350.0%$9316350¢-6250¢
8Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+1.5)6100.0%$1.6K6100¢-6000¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 3.5 Games3550.0%$4.9K3550¢-3450¢
39O/U 4.5 Games3500.0%$1.1K3500¢-3400¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between Maryville University and Zeu5 Esports in the LCS Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win the match against Zeu5 Esports.

This market will resolve to "Zeu5 Esports" if Zeu5 Esports win the match against Maryville University.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 5, 2026

  • 09:15 PM
    GEgekan10080
    $19.32

    Bought 52.216217 Zeu5 Esports for Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5) at 0.37

  • 09:13 PM
    SOSorryMillicent
    $6.99

    Bought 7.430982 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.94

  • 09:12 PM
    SOSorryMillicent
    $6.92

    Sold 7.36 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.94

  • 09:11 PM
    SOSorryMillicent
    $6.99

    Bought 7.360673 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.95

  • 09:11 PM
    ASassasin5002
    $35.16

    Bought 50.227 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 4 Winner at 0.7

  • 09:11 PM
    KAKamaz.cem
    $34.35

    Bought 49.071426 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 4 Winner at 0.7

  • 09:10 PM
    ASassasin5002
    $42.29

    Bought 61.286954 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 4 Winner at 0.69

  • 09:10 PM
    LAlakimulindenis
    $40.62

    Bought 61.54403 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 4 Winner at 0.66

  • 09:09 PM
    0X0xAe093968FC73edf7736D2224892A28DBBe1f4D75-1782410882593
    $3.12

    Bought 52.027667 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.06

  • 09:09 PM
    LElentoperoseguro
    $47.25

    Bought 49.223818 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.96

  • 09:09 PM
    PDPDIDDY-070
    $9.93

    Bought 165.462462 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.06

  • 09:09 PM
    0X0xf7FeA810d8f9823ba33537033d855b920B6fb4e9-1783375524796
    $10.76

    Bought 30.74 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 4 Winner at 0.35

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

CO1
ColdBlooded
事件損益
+$178.28
成交量
$52,872.80
持倉數
Maryville UniversityMaryville UniversityMaryville University+4
PU2
purplegatto
事件損益
-$393.93
成交量
$9,141.13
持倉數
Zeu5 Esports
FB3
0xfB07…2542
事件損益
-$6.48
成交量
$7,225.46
持倉數
Zeu5 EsportsZeu5 EsportsZeu5 Esports+1
NO4
no1dodgersfan
事件損益
-$176.26
成交量
$6,080.71
持倉數
Zeu5 EsportsZeu5 EsportsZeu5 Esports+2
CA5
CAcap
事件損益
-$109.03
成交量
$5,386.27
持倉數
OverZeu5 EsportsZeu5 Esports+5
TR6
trader12312
事件損益
+$46.20
成交量
$3,905.18
持倉數
Maryville University
LO7
loldot
事件損益
-$75.32
成交量
$3,857.87
持倉數
Zeu5 EsportsOverZeu5 Esports
A88
a8999
事件損益
-$75.00
成交量
$3,000.00
持倉數
Zeu5 Esports

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game 1 Winner(9,605%),以及 Match Winner(9,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $119.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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