LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs

$140.6K Vol
2026年9月16日
Active
機率趨勢
Senshi Esports Club 100.0%
mCon esports 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game Handicap: SEC (-2.5) vs mCon esports (+2.5) 以 9,995% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 以 9,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $140.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5) (9,995%):Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $125 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game Handicap: SEC (-2.5) vs mCon esports (+2.5) (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game Handicap: SEC (-2.5) vs mCon esports (+2.5) 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,950%):以 9,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,950%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (9,950%),以及 Game 4 Winner (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5)9995.0%$1259995¢-9895¢
2Game Handicap: SEC (-2.5) vs mCon esports (+2.5)9995.0%$339995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
6Game 4 Winner5050.0%$675050¢-4950¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%50¢50¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
21Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills50.0%50¢50¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%50¢50¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%50¢50¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
26Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills50.0%50¢50¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%50¢50¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
30Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors20.0%20¢80¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors20.0%20¢80¢
33Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors20.0%20¢80¢
34Game 1 Winner5.0%$46.8K95¢
35Game 2 Winner5.0%$27.8K95¢
36Game 3 Winner5.0%$43.6K95¢
37Match Winner5.0%$22.7K95¢
38O/U 3.5 Games5.0%$25695¢
39O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$3295¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between mCon esports and Senshi Esports Club in the Road Of Legends Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "mCon esports" if mCon esports win the match against Senshi Esports Club.

This market will resolve to "Senshi Esports Club" if Senshi Esports Club win the match against mCon esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 15, 2026

  • 10:17 AM
    GAGall1048596
    $10.00

    Bought 29.411765 mCon esports for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.34

  • 10:17 AM
    GAGall1048596
    $30.00

    Bought 54.545455 mCon esports for Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5) at 0.55

  • 08:41 AM
    MImimi121
    $33.76

    Sold 102.31 mCon esports for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.33

  • 07:42 AM
    GLGlimz
    $25.00

    Bought 37.313433 Senshi Esports Club for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.67

  • 07:15 AM
    GEgeaaa
    $201.00

    Bought 300 Senshi Esports Club for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.67

  • 03:29 AM
    0X0x3252dE913d9323667f21F4d88fA1F996fC282293-1720383165418
    $4.00

    Bought 5 mCon esports for Game Handicap: SEC (-2.5) vs mCon esports (+2.5) at 0.8

Sep 14, 2026

  • 08:19 PM
    SLSLGTHBB
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777778 mCon esports for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.36

  • 08:16 PM
    282855555A48ee7ec2e67272701651BFe77034eBE8
    $37.50

    Bought 56.818182 Senshi Esports Club for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.66

  • 08:14 PM
    JZjzr09
    $5.00

    Bought 7.575758 Senshi Esports Club for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.66

  • 07:56 PM
    MOmonicabing
    $5.00

    Bought 16.13 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.31

  • 02:01 PM
    AUAuramemnon
    $45.59

    Bought 70.145605 Senshi Esports Club for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.65

  • 08:21 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $2.00

    Bought 3.030302 Senshi Esports Club for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.66

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SU1
Sunshine.Smile
事件損益
+$1,249.83
成交量
$16,493.08
持倉數
Senshi Esports ClubmCon esports
EZ2
ezMerge
事件損益
+$5.65
成交量
$11,307.28
持倉數
Senshi Esports ClubSenshi Esports Club
F23
0xF201…4616
事件損益
+$2,523.94
成交量
$7,598.43
持倉數
Senshi Esports ClubmCon esports
DE4
delacsynzy
事件損益
-$2,977.73
成交量
$7,598.04
持倉數
mCon esportsmCon esports
SK5
skadii
事件損益
+$1,698.68
成交量
$7,053.13
持倉數
Senshi Esports ClubSenshi Esports ClubmCon esports+1
HE6
heatwave0521
事件損益
+$1,409.42
成交量
$6,846.18
持倉數
Senshi Esports ClubSenshi Esports ClubSenshi Esports Club+1
WH7
whatyouknowboutlove
事件損益
-$1,231.69
成交量
$4,371.15
持倉數
mCon esports
IN8
InAirdropWeTrust
事件損益
+$285.84
成交量
$3,999.90
持倉數
Senshi Esports ClubmCon esportsmCon esports+1

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5) 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game Handicap: SEC (-2.5) vs mCon esports (+2.5)(9,995%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor(9,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $140.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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