LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$1.3M Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
機率趨勢
BNK FEARX 62.5%
LGD Gaming 37.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 以 9,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $1.3M,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $656.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 2.5 Games 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? (9,950%):以 9,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (9,950%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (7,500%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? (7,500%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$656.8K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$4.6K9995¢-9895¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?9950.0%$189950¢-9850¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills7500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?7500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?7500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?7500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?7500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?7500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5155.0%—5155¢-5055¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4845.0%—4845¢-4745¢
28Both Teams Slay a Dragon4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
30Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
31Match Winner3650.0%$354.6K3650¢-3550¢
32Odd/Even Total Kills2500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
33First Blood in Game 1?2500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
34First Blood in Game 2?2500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
35Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?2500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?40.0%$1.2K40¢60¢
37Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40.0%$5940¢60¢
38Game 1 Winner5.0%$323.8K5¢95¢
39Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)5.0%$8.9K5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between LGD Gaming and BNK FEARX in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against BNK FEARX.

This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against LGD Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 4, 2026

  • 01:19 AM
    0X0x6e5Bc791e132Cc7D4e01154AB3b8287C2C5144a5-1767747604417
    $100.00

    Bought 175.438597 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner at 0.57

  • 01:18 AM
    NInigiri99
    $18.24

    Bought 38 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

  • 01:17 AM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 11.363637 LGD Gaming for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.44

  • 01:13 AM
    0X0x2Ba2AA4DE674376Bd540B8Cecfd0E4aa4977327D-1788199685015
    $2.85

    Bought 5 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 01:07 AM
    DHdhamp
    $9.69

    Bought 17 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner at 0.57

  • 01:05 AM
    THthb9037
    $5.70

    Bought 10 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 01:02 AM
    MAMastergreen
    $20.10

    Bought 35.263158 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 01:01 AM
    0X0x6891B1Bf1A8AD4cb9389Aa5FDD138708F4bD9d28-1782697495689
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 01:01 AM
    JZjzr09
    $2.00

    Bought 2.857143 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 01:00 AM
    JTJtiz
    $2.85

    Bought 5 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 12:58 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2.85

    Bought 5 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 12:58 AM
    FRfrieren67
    $44.00

    Bought 100 LGD Gaming for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.44

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SU1
suntori
事件損益
-$80.72
成交量
$15,194.27
持倉數
BNK FEARXLGD Gaming
DR2
drunkdegenerate
事件損益
+$75.00
成交量
$14,999.94
持倉數
LGD Gaming
VI3
vibing123
事件損益
+$63.36
成交量
$10,215.75
持倉數
LGD Gaming
AR4
arrombabets
事件損益
-$32.06
成交量
$2,598.12
持倉數
BNK FEARX
FB5
0xfB07…2542
事件損益
+$30.93
成交量
$2,062.12
持倉數
LGD Gaming
DE6
delacsynzy1
事件損益
+$8.28
成交量
$1,655.18
持倉數
BNK FEARX
MK7
mk3over
事件損益
-$6.58
成交量
$1,315.79
持倉數
BNK FEARX
IC8
IcaroRaph
事件損益
+$6.00
成交量
$1,200.32
持倉數
BNK FEARX

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?(9,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $1.3M,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始