LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

$187.5K Vol
2026年10月12日
Active
機率趨勢
KT Rolster 88.5%
Team Vitality 11.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Match Winner 以壓倒性的 8,750% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) 以 7,350% 位居第二,Game 1 Winner 以 7,150% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $187.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Match Winner (8,750%):Match Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,750¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $76.0K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) (7,350%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) 保持著 7,350% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,350¢。
  • Game 1 Winner (7,150%):以 7,150% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Game 1 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Game 2 Winner (7,050%)、Game 3 Winner (7,050%),以及 Game 4 Winner (6,750%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Match Winner8750.0%$76.0K8750¢-8650¢
2Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)7350.0%$24.2K7350¢-7250¢
3Game 1 Winner7150.0%$13.0K7150¢-7050¢
4Game 2 Winner7050.0%$10.7K7050¢-6950¢
5Game 3 Winner7050.0%$6.8K7050¢-6950¢
6Game 4 Winner6750.0%$3.0K6750¢-6650¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6500.0%$4.7K6500¢-6400¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?6300.0%$2.0K6300¢-6200¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5650.0%$1.3K5650¢-5550¢
10O/U 3.5 Games5450.0%$5.7K5450¢-5350¢
11First Blood in Game 3?5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
42First Blood in Game 1?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
43First Blood in Game 2?4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?4600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
45Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)4250.0%$36.8K4250¢-4150¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
48O/U 4.5 Games2250.0%$3.2K2250¢-2150¢
49Any Player Penta Kill1500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
50Any Player Penta Kill750.0%—750¢-650¢
51Any Player Penta Kill750.0%—750¢-650¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between KT Rolster and Team Vitality in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Team Vitality.

This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against KT Rolster.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 11, 2026

  • 11:49 AM
    PUpurplegatto
    $12.46

    Bought 14 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.89

  • 11:42 AM
    0X0x077ec3aecc9F1ed50DF14c9d76Fd24199cC31fB0-1769433043434
    $20.00

    Bought 58.82353 Team Vitality for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 4 Winner at 0.34

  • 11:40 AM
    NIniiotyo
    $25.56

    Bought 38.149254 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 4 Winner at 0.67

  • 11:39 AM
    0X0x077ec3aecc9F1ed50DF14c9d76Fd24199cC31fB0-1769433043434
    $46.40

    Bought 145 Team Vitality for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 4 Winner at 0.32

  • 11:16 AM
    ONonseason
    $2.00

    Bought 2.5974 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner at 0.77

  • 11:16 AM
    NOnotbig
    $20.00

    Bought 25.974026 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner at 0.77

  • 11:06 AM
    SLSlowbathroom
    $48.95

    Bought 55 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.89

  • 10:54 AM
    MIMinne2507
    $49.92

    Bought 60.149518 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.83

  • 10:47 AM
    KUkurtz180
    $5.00

    Bought 41.666667 Team Vitality for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.12

  • 10:46 AM
    THTheBlackPearl2003
    $4.45

    Bought 5 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.89

  • 10:44 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.76

    Bought 39.666667 Team Vitality for LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.12

  • 09:12 AM
    LIligeiwoguolai
    $4.90

    Bought 10 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.49

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

FR1
freeman123
事件損益
-$57.00
成交量
$11,400.00
持倉數
KT Rolster
HE2
0xheavy888
事件損益
+$50.00
成交量
$9,999.97
持倉數
Team Vitality
SI3
SimpleTony
事件損益
+$41.25
成交量
$8,249.95
持倉數
Team Vitality
SU4
suntori
事件損益
-$2.11
成交量
$2,389.18
持倉數
KT RolsterOver
685
0x68C9…6530
事件損益
+$5.90
成交量
$2,172.31
持倉數
Team Vitality
NI6
nigiri99
事件損益
+$7.23
成交量
$1,922.00
持倉數
Team VitalityUnder
MU7
musndk
事件損益
-$7.89
成交量
$1,579.00
持倉數
KT Rolster
FB8
0xfB07…2542
事件損益
+$3.25
成交量
$1,550.00
持倉數
KT Rolster

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 8,750% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)(7,350%),以及 Game 1 Winner(7,150%)。該市場總成交量已達 $187.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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