LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs

$454.2K Vol
2026年10月6日
Active
機率趨勢
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 100.0%
9z Globant 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game 3 Winner 以 9,995% 位居第二,Match Winner 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $454.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $40.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game 3 Winner 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Match Winner (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Match Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%)、Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs 9z Globant (+1.5) (9,995%),以及 Game 4 Winner (9,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$40.8K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 3 Winner9995.0%$80.0K9995¢-9895¢
3Match Winner9995.0%$96.9K9995¢-9895¢
4O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$12.7K9995¢-9895¢
5Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs 9z Globant (+1.5)9995.0%$19.8K9995¢-9895¢
6Game 4 Winner9950.0%$29.1K9950¢-9850¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
25Both Teams Slay a Dragon950.0%—950¢-850¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%—950¢-850¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
28Any Player Penta Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
29Odd/Even Total Kills950.0%—950¢-850¢
30Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor945.0%—945¢-845¢
31Game Handicap: 9ZG (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5)50.0%—50¢50¢
32O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$7.2K5¢95¢
33Game Handicap: KBM (-2.5) vs 9z Globant (+2.5)5.0%$64.8K5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas and 9z Globant in the CBLOL Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win the match against 9z Globant.

This market will resolve to "9z Globant" if 9z Globant win the match against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 5, 2026

  • 11:33 PM
    0X0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554
    $300.00

    Bought 333.33333 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 4 Winner at 0.9

  • 11:33 PM
    DWdwayne98
    $1.09

    Bought 9.909091 9z Globant for LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 4 Winner at 0.11

  • 11:33 PM
    ARAru021
    $3.00

    Bought 3.2967 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 4 Winner at 0.91

  • 11:33 PM
    0X0x4a1a
    $1.00

    Bought 10 9z Globant for LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 4 Winner at 0.1

  • 11:32 PM
    0X0xD4B400C4E6d7A251de2B9aB37d34EC8C5d0417b1-1768216877536
    $5.84

    Bought 6.417577 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 4 Winner at 0.91

  • 11:32 PM
    ANantec
    $75.72

    Bought 84.13 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 4 Winner at 0.9

  • 11:32 PM
    SMsm8926523
    $6.17

    Sold 6.17 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 3 Winner at 1

  • 11:32 PM
    ROrobodder
    $4.50

    Bought 5 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 4 Winner at 0.9

  • 11:32 PM
    ROrobodder
    $4.50

    Bought 5 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 4 Winner at 0.9

  • 11:32 PM
    ROrobodder
    $4.50

    Bought 5 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 4 Winner at 0.9

  • 11:32 PM
    ROrobodder
    $4.50

    Bought 5 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 4 Winner at 0.9

  • 11:32 PM
    0X0x755F84AAee5433509695c8721b5952E422292cFf-1781200856483
    $2.67

    Bought 3 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant - Game 4 Winner at 0.89

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

691
0x6918…0027
事件損益
+$174.64
成交量
$18,938.14
持倉數
UnderKaBuM! Ilha das LendasKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas+4
4A2
0x4a1a
事件損益
+$60.97
成交量
$13,289.57
持倉數
KaBuM! Ilha das LendasKaBuM! Ilha das LendasUnder
RO3
ROTK6
事件損益
-$23.45
成交量
$6,679.20
持倉數
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
AM4
am100
事件損益
+$62.50
成交量
$6,064.59
持倉數
KaBuM! Ilha das LendasKaBuM! Ilha das LendasKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas+2
A85
a8999
事件損益
+$12.00
成交量
$5,234.10
持倉數
9z Globant9z Globant
LO6
loldot
事件損益
-$26.66
成交量
$4,268.27
持倉數
9z GlobantKaBuM! Ilha das LendasKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas+3
VI7
vip190666
事件損益
-$44.00
成交量
$4,233.40
持倉數
9z Globant9z GlobantOver+1
GO8
Gooooooollllllllll
事件損益
+$14.44
成交量
$3,636.03
持倉數
KaBuM! Ilha das LendasUnder

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game 3 Winner(9,995%),以及 Match Winner(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $454.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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