LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

$180.8K Vol
2026年9月8日
Active
機率趨勢
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 100.0%
INTZ e-Sports 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 3.5 Games 以 9,955% 位居第二,Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs INTZ e-Sports (+1.5) 以 9,955% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $180.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $31.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,955%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 3.5 Games 保持著 9,955% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,955¢。
  • Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs INTZ e-Sports (+1.5) (9,955%):以 9,955% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs INTZ e-Sports (+1.5) 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,050%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$31.7K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9955.0%$3549955¢-9855¢
3Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs INTZ e-Sports (+1.5)9955.0%$1339955¢-9855¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$505000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$505000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$505000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$505000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%950¢-850¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%950¢-850¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
32Any Player Penta Kill950.0%$50950¢-850¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills950.0%950¢-850¢
34O/U 4.5 Games45.0%$21145¢55¢
35Game Handicap: ITZ (-1.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+1.5)45.0%$545¢55¢
36Game Handicap: ITZ (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5)45.0%$41345¢55¢
37Game Handicap: KBM (-2.5) vs INTZ e-Sports (+2.5)45.0%$29645¢55¢
38Game 1 Winner5.0%$18.3K95¢
39Game 3 Winner5.0%$70.6K95¢
40Game 4 Winner5.0%$35.2K95¢
41Match Winner5.0%$37.9K95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between INTZ e-Sports and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "INTZ e-Sports" if INTZ e-Sports win the match against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas.

This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win the match against INTZ e-Sports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 7, 2026

  • 08:45 PM
    0X0xFd1df6a11eB52B2B1a1b6131E7a7D604291e6F23-1782245241652
    $56.60

    Sold 56.6 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 08:44 PM
    MCMcPoze
    $28.89

    Sold 28.89 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 08:40 PM
    FLFlancs
    $437.68

    Sold 437.68 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 08:38 PM
    TITiradentes
    $2.00

    Bought 3.508772 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 2 Winner at 0.57

  • 08:38 PM
    OOoooooooooop
    $0.00

    Bought 33.34 INTZ e-Sports for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner at 0

  • 08:37 PM
    WIwi888
    $52.69

    Sold 52.69 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 08:37 PM
    0X0x3fB040fd3232AFBf09d9Ad9Fee6E943701F4B1Da-1788081935159
    $8.96

    Bought 8.96 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 08:36 PM
    AKAkataya
    $1.78

    Sold 1.8 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner at 0.99

  • 08:33 PM
    $2.63

    Sold 3.65 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.72

  • 08:33 PM
    YOYosooooooo
    $1.88

    Bought 6.714286 INTZ e-Sports for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.28

  • 08:33 PM
    ANantec
    $1.21

    Bought 5.24 INTZ e-Sports for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.23

  • 08:33 PM
    0X0x97c7F0C750F0B2f3FaF92E26bacf431B114d41eF-1788165346612
    $1.48

    Bought 1.827157 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs at 0.81

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

PR1
PROBABILITYTRADER
事件損益
+$340.72
成交量
$4,984.16
持倉數
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
AR2
arm1337
事件損益
-$195.88
成交量
$2,993.00
持倉數
INTZ e-SportsINTZ e-Sports
AN3
antec
事件損益
+$181.95
成交量
$2,257.89
持倉數
KaBuM! Ilha das LendasINTZ e-SportsKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas+3
SK4
SkyCapital71
事件損益
-$26.75
成交量
$2,076.55
持倉數
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
NO5
no1dodgersfan
事件損益
+$20.55
成交量
$1,611.45
持倉數
INTZ e-SportsINTZ e-SportsKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas+2
LW6
Lwkgbrbsie
事件損益
-$196.21
成交量
$1,454.20
持倉數
INTZ e-Sports
JI7
Jimmyman132
事件損益
+$92.10
成交量
$943.47
持倉數
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
TH8
TheChineseMafia
事件損益
-$0.16
成交量
$869.28
持倉數
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 3.5 Games(9,955%),以及 Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs INTZ e-Sports (+1.5)(9,955%)。該市場總成交量已達 $180.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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