LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$114.1K Vol
2026年10月5日
Active
機率趨勢
Team Vitality 74.5%
GAM Esports 25.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 以壓倒性的 5,650% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 以 5,450% 位居第二,Any Player Penta Kill 以 5,200% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $114.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (5,650%):Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,650¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,450%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 保持著 5,450% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,450¢。
  • Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%):以 5,200% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Any Player Penta Kill 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5) (5,050%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,050%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
3Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
4Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)5050.0%$18.7K5050¢-4950¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20First Blood in Game 2?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4300.0%$24300¢-4200¢
23O/U 2.5 Games4050.0%$4574050¢-3950¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills3900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
25Game 2 Winner3150.0%$3.2K3150¢-3050¢
26Game 1 Winner2950.0%$19.7K2950¢-2850¢
27Match Winner2550.0%$72.0K2550¢-2450¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
29Any Player Penta Kill1500.0%—1500¢-1400¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between GAM Esports and Team Vitality in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win the match against Team Vitality.

This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against GAM Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 5, 2026

  • 12:23 AM
    FIFireCatMan
    $1.00

    Bought 4 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.25

  • 12:23 AM
    0X0x2D1EeB1c3E188728D343635065bB9Eeee9588213-1759575731135
    $2.10

    Bought 5.121952 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.41

  • 12:22 AM
    0X0x6e5Bc791e132Cc7D4e01154AB3b8287C2C5144a5-1767747604417
    $15.00

    Bought 36.585366 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.41

  • 12:22 AM
    ANandylidi
    $25.00

    Bought 32.894737 Team Vitality for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.76

  • 12:21 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 8 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.25

  • 12:20 AM
    TUTur3mai
    $1.10

    Bought 3.4375 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner at 0.32

  • 12:20 AM
    TUTur3mai
    $1.10

    Bought 3.333334 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner at 0.33

  • 12:20 AM
    TUTur3mai
    $1.10

    Bought 4.4 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.25

  • 12:18 AM
    SEsenbonzakura108
    $30.00

    Bought 58.82353 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5) at 0.51

  • 12:17 AM
    BBBBB8866
    $10.00

    Bought 13.157895 Team Vitality for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.76

  • 12:16 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 4 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.25

  • 12:15 AM
    SISirThulio
    $28.00

    Bought 112 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.25

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

ZH1
zhutianwei1
事件損益
-$182.78
成交量
$9,753.44
持倉數
GAM EsportsGAM EsportsGAM Esports
EQ2
equalsignificance
事件損益
+$9.76
成交量
$9,481.96
持倉數
GAM Esports
SO3
SonotME34
事件損益
-$65.78
成交量
$4,385.53
持倉數
Team Vitality
MO4
MoneyFile
事件損益
-$33.28
成交量
$4,056.77
持倉數
GAM EsportsGAM Esports
LO5
loldot
事件損益
-$1.62
成交量
$3,798.51
持倉數
Team VitalityTeam VitalityGAM Esports+1
SK6
Skyfker
事件損益
-$22.78
成交量
$3,551.15
持倉數
Team VitalityTeam Vitality
ZZ7
Zzzz87
事件損益
-$15.99
成交量
$3,200.00
持倉數
Team Vitality
VI8
vibing123
事件損益
+$111.08
成交量
$3,173.73
持倉數
Team Vitality

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 以 5,650% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?(5,450%),以及 Any Player Penta Kill(5,200%)。該市場總成交量已達 $114.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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