LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$129.1K Vol
2026年10月7日
Active
機率趨勢
FlyQuest 72.5%
GAM Esports 27.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 以壓倒性的 6,350% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 以 5,400% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 以 5,150% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $129.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (6,350%):Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,350¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $10 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (5,400%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 保持著 5,400% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,400¢。
  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,150%):以 5,150% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,150%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,100%),以及 Any Player Penta Kill (5,100%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6350.0%$106350¢-6250¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5400.0%$625400¢-5300¢
3Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
4Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
19First Blood in Game 2?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
21O/U 2.5 Games4450.0%$3264450¢-4350¢
22Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)4050.0%$53.3K4050¢-3950¢
23Game 1 Winner3550.0%$1.9K3550¢-3450¢
24Game 2 Winner3550.0%$1.1K3550¢-3450¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?2950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?2900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
27Match Winner2750.0%$72.3K2750¢-2650¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
29Any Player Penta Kill2050.0%—2050¢-1950¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between GAM Esports and FlyQuest in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win the match against FlyQuest.

This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against GAM Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 7, 2026

  • 12:56 AM
    BEBettingOnLoL
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777778 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner at 0.36

  • 12:47 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571429 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.28

  • 12:47 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571429 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.28

  • 12:46 AM
    TRtradingfleet
    $37.50

    Bought 51.369862 FlyQuest for LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.73

  • 12:46 AM
    TRtradingfleet
    $37.50

    Bought 51.369862 FlyQuest for LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.73

  • 12:44 AM
    ANAnthony.Lau
    $2.00

    Bought 7.142858 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.28

  • 12:43 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571429 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.28

  • 12:43 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571429 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.28

  • 12:43 AM
    0X0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
    $1.00

    Bought 1.369862 FlyQuest for LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.73

  • 12:43 AM
    KKKKlen
    $4.01

    Bought 5.493151 FlyQuest for LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.73

  • 12:43 AM
    CRCryingWhale
    $8.34

    Bought 29.78 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.28

  • 12:43 AM
    LILivEV
    $73.08

    Bought 261 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.28

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

441
0x4468…4625
事件損益
+$82.38
成交量
$16,472.50
持倉數
GAM EsportsGAM Esports
ST2
StasPanda
事件損益
-$402.50
成交量
$16,100.00
持倉數
FlyQuest
DR3
drunkdegenerate
事件損益
+$328.45
成交量
$13,563.09
持倉數
GAM EsportsGAM Esports
VI4
vibing123
事件損益
+$200.00
成交量
$7,999.95
持倉數
GAM Esports
DE5
deron
事件損益
-$35.00
成交量
$6,999.98
持倉數
FlyQuest
BY6
BYTasb1
事件損益
-$5.75
成交量
$5,064.95
持倉數
FlyQuest
BE7
BetsAusmAudimax
事件損益
+$22.50
成交量
$4,500.00
持倉數
GAM Esports
DE8
delacsynzy1
事件損益
-$18.60
成交量
$3,720.93
持倉數
FlyQuest

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 以 6,350% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?(5,400%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor(5,150%)。該市場總成交量已達 $129.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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