LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs

$256K Vol
2026年9月9日
Active
機率趨勢
BOMBA Team 51.5%
Forsaken 48.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 3 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game 4 Winner 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 3.5 Games 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $256K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%):Game 3 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $52.0K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game 4 Winner (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game 4 Winner 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 3.5 Games 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 4.5 Games (9,995%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (9,945%),以及 Odd/Even Total Kills (9,945%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 3 Winner9995.0%$52.0K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 4 Winner9995.0%$55.1K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$389995¢-9895¢
4O/U 4.5 Games9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills9945.0%$109945¢-9845¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills9945.0%$109945¢-9845¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9050.0%$119050¢-8950¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon7500.0%7500¢-7400¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5250.0%$105250¢-5150¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$115000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$115000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$115000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Match Winner4950.0%$42.2K4950¢-4850¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4850.0%$104850¢-4750¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills3300.0%$103300¢-3200¢
25Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%$10950¢-850¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
28Any Player Penta Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
29Odd/Even Total Kills50.0%$1050¢50¢
30Game 2 Winner5.0%$72.5K95¢
31Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5)5.0%95¢
32Game Handicap: FSK (-2.5) vs BOMBA Team (+2.5)5.0%95¢
33Game Handicap: BOOM (-2.5) vs Forsaken (+2.5)5.0%$5495¢
34Game Handicap: BOOM (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5)5.0%$1095¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Forsaken and BOMBA Team in the Rift Legends Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Forsaken" if Forsaken win the match against BOMBA Team.

This market will resolve to "BOMBA Team" if BOMBA Team win the match against Forsaken.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 9, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 8, 2026

  • 08:56 AM
    PRpredictesport
    $8.96

    Bought 18.285715 Forsaken for LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs at 0.49

  • 08:13 AM
    3838791873984189
    $38.40

    Bought 80 Forsaken for LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs at 0.48

  • 07:22 AM
    BAbarr1
    $60.00

    Bought 115.384616 BOMBA Team for LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs at 0.52

  • 03:34 AM
    PPppaappaa
    $3.43

    Bought 7 Forsaken for LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs at 0.49

  • 02:25 AM
    ZMzmt6611
    $14.87

    Bought 29.74 Forsaken for LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs at 0.5

  • 12:00 AM
    EJejentertainment
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615385 BOMBA Team for LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs at 0.52

Sep 7, 2026

  • 08:01 PM
    TITIppi88k
    $10.00

    Bought 19.23077 BOMBA Team for LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs at 0.52

  • 08:00 PM
    FUfunnyKitten234
    $8.00

    Bought 15.384616 BOMBA Team for LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs at 0.52

  • 07:45 PM
    FUfunnyKitten234
    $8.00

    Bought 15.384616 BOMBA Team for LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs at 0.52

  • 07:15 PM
    FUfunnyKitten234
    $8.00

    Bought 15.384616 BOMBA Team for LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs at 0.52

  • 02:43 PM
    EMempty-dog
    $1.56

    Sold 3.18 BOMBA Team for LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs at 0.49

  • 02:26 PM
    BLblessedbe
    $35.78

    Bought 70.153652 Forsaken for LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs at 0.51

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

KI1
kinogos
事件損益
-$99.78
成交量
$12,108.34
持倉數
Forsaken
DE2
degenofweb3
事件損益
+$5.39
成交量
$10,689.78
持倉數
BOMBA Team
AO3
aomendushen008
事件損益
+$166.57
成交量
$3,296.94
持倉數
BOMBA Team
FR4
frohp5
事件損益
+$613.25
成交量
$2,667.21
持倉數
BOMBA TeamBOMBA Team
GA5
Gaditima
事件損益
-$422.33
成交量
$2,165.00
持倉數
Forsaken
LI6
Lidongo
事件損益
+$293.20
成交量
$1,776.98
持倉數
BOMBA Team
CA7
calculate10
事件損益
+$324.81
成交量
$1,683.22
持倉數
BOMBA TeamBOMBA Team
AN8
antec
事件損益
-$572.28
成交量
$1,644.87
持倉數
BOMBA TeamForsaken

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 3 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game 4 Winner(9,995%),以及 O/U 3.5 Games(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $256K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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