LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

$73.6K Vol
2026年9月9日
Active
機率趨勢
Nongshim Esports Academy 99.5%
DN SOOPers Challengers 0.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game Handicap: NS.EA (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+2.5) 以壓倒性的 9,650% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) 以 5,050% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $73.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game Handicap: NS.EA (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+2.5) (9,650%):Game Handicap: NS.EA (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+2.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,650¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $49 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) (5,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) 保持著 5,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,050¢。
  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%)、Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Penta Kill 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game Handicap: NS.EA (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+2.5)9650.0%$499650¢-9550¢
2Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)5050.0%$11.0K5050¢-4950¢
3Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Game 4 Winner4950.0%$2224950¢-4850¢
34O/U 3.5 Games300.0%$3.7K300¢-200¢
35O/U 4.5 Games250.0%$770250¢-150¢
36Game 3 Winner150.0%$210.5K150¢-50¢
37Match Winner55.0%$101.0K55¢45¢
38Game 1 Winner5.0%$198.0K95¢
39Game 2 Winner5.0%$383.8K95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal match between DN SOOPers Challengers and Nongshim Esports Academy in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win the match against Nongshim Esports Academy.

This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win the match against DN SOOPers Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 9, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 8, 2026

  • 11:31 PM
    WAWaySheGoes
    $9.77

    Sold 23.25 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.42

  • 11:31 PM
    PEPepitogrill
    $2.50

    Bought 5.813954 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.43

  • 11:31 PM
    WAWaySheGoes
    $10.00

    Bought 23.255814 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.43

  • 11:26 PM
    0X0x95527cA5a4295A44c4fEbB85F16f66b8252E2520-1767597674753
    $2.50

    Bought 5.681819 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.44

  • 11:26 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $41.22

    Bought 95.86 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.43

  • 11:17 PM
    AGAGBetsCo
    $5.07

    Bought 7.8 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.65

  • 11:12 PM
    MAMastergreen
    $29.72

    Sold 52.14 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.57

  • 11:06 PM
    BOBoss7
    $67.00

    Bought 115.517242 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.58

  • 11:04 PM
    BOBoss7
    $232.00

    Bought 400 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.58

  • 10:51 PM
    USUser1601
    $10.00

    Bought 14.084506 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.71

  • 10:48 PM
    AGAGBetsCo
    $3.25

    Bought 5 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.65

  • 10:41 PM
    0X0x30000FCb38eadAE30FB956039Ff1f135E26C1E84-1787208120661
    $7.50

    Sold 13.63 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.55

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

LA1
landighertz
事件損益
+$17.15
成交量
$34,300.93
持倉數
Nongshim Esports Academy
882
888888u
事件損益
-$313.00
成交量
$26,308.82
持倉數
DN SOOPers Challengers
MA3
Malfunction.
事件損益
+$350.31
成交量
$24,826.16
持倉數
Nongshim Esports Academy
MP4
mpyh
事件損益
-$1,595.54
成交量
$17,665.31
持倉數
DN SOOPers Challengers
SU5
Sunshine.Smile
事件損益
+$4,476.12
成交量
$12,113.75
持倉數
Nongshim Esports Academy
BB6
BBQChickenisthebesttt
事件損益
+$106.90
成交量
$11,000.34
持倉數
Nongshim Esports AcademyNongshim Esports Academy
BA7
backback
事件損益
+$335.37
成交量
$10,119.98
持倉數
Nongshim Esports Academy
LZ8
lzh1
事件損益
-$3,049.96
成交量
$10,000.00
持倉數
DN SOOPers Challengers

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game Handicap: NS.EA (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+2.5) 以 9,650% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)(5,050%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $73.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始