LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

$103.6K Vol
2026年9月14日
Active
機率趨勢
KT Rolster Challengers 56.5%
Dplus KIA Challengers 43.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以壓倒性的 7,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? 以 6,950% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5? 以 6,750% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $103.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,550%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $20.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? (6,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? 保持著 6,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,950¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5? (6,750%):以 6,750% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? (6,750%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7550.0%$20.7K7550¢-7450¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?6950.0%6950¢-6850¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
8First Blood in Game 3?6050.0%6050¢-5950¢
9First Blood in Game 4?6050.0%6050¢-5950¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5550.0%5550¢-5450¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?5450.0%$1.3K5450¢-5350¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5400.0%$3135400¢-5300¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5200.0%$1035200¢-5100¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24First Blood in Game 5?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 5?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Game 1 Winner4750.0%$3.3K4750¢-4650¢
33First Blood in Game 2?4700.0%4700¢-4600¢
34Game 2 Winner4650.0%$1.5K4650¢-4550¢
35Game 3 Winner4650.0%$1.5K4650¢-4550¢
36Game 4 Winner4450.0%$64450¢-4350¢
37Match Winner4350.0%$66.6K4350¢-4250¢
38Both Teams Slay a Dragon4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
39Both Teams Slay a Dragon4200.0%4200¢-4100¢
40Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5)3750.0%$6643750¢-3650¢
41First Blood in Game 1?3700.0%3700¢-3600¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
43O/U 4.5 Games3500.0%$7.5K3500¢-3400¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?3150.0%3150¢-3050¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
46Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
47Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
48Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)2850.0%$3162850¢-2750¢
49Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
50Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
51Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
52Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
53Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
54Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
55Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
56Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
57Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
58Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+2.5)1750.0%$161750¢-1650¢
59Any Player Penta Kill1150.0%1150¢-1050¢
60Game Handicap: DK.C (-2.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+2.5)950.0%$318950¢-850¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Dplus KIA Challengers and KT Rolster Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against KT Rolster Challengers.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 13, 2026

  • 10:58 PM
    0X0x95527cA5a4295A44c4fEbB85F16f66b8252E2520-1767597674753
    $2.80

    Bought 5.090908 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.55

  • 10:58 PM
    ASasakku
    $32.20

    Bought 70 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.46

  • 10:54 PM
    DRDredgerton
    $52.93

    Bought 79 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.67

  • 10:52 PM
    0X0x95527cA5a4295A44c4fEbB85F16f66b8252E2520-1767597674753
    $2.80

    Bought 5.090908 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.55

  • 10:52 PM
    STstrafezin
    $340.22

    Bought 739.608696 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.46

  • 10:45 PM
    DDddamian
    $1.00

    Bought 1.369862 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.73

  • 10:43 PM
    SMsmye100
    $20.00

    Bought 43.478261 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.46

  • 10:42 PM
    MMMM26MM26
    $1.35

    Bought 5 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.27

  • 10:40 PM
    SPsport909bot
    $1.00

    Bought 2.083334 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? at 0.48

  • 10:40 PM
    SPsport909bot
    $1.00

    Bought 2.12766 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 0.47

  • 10:39 PM
    JUjuanuski
    $317.67

    Bought 588.28 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.54

  • 10:39 PM
    0X0x4a379A16C2B431e0189B9E9B865B25F20C5Ef006-1769047148982
    $13.00

    Bought 24.074073 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.54

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

VI1
Villson
事件損益
-$6.94
成交量
$22,522.82
持倉數
Dplus KIA ChallengersOverOver+3
692
0x6918…0027
事件損益
+$50.54
成交量
$19,138.13
持倉數
KT Rolster ChallengersUnderUnder+4
A33
0xa3B5…0736
事件損益
-$5.04
成交量
$4,521.56
持倉數
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers+1
AM4
am100
事件損益
+$43.85
成交量
$4,109.24
持倉數
KT Rolster ChallengersOverUnder+2
BI5
bit754
事件損益
+$110.63
成交量
$2,429.32
持倉數
KT Rolster Challengers
076
0x076d…8d4c
事件損益
+$57.92
成交量
$2,306.28
持倉數
KT Rolster Challengers
NI7
Nicksypoo
事件損益
-$100.71
成交量
$2,060.39
持倉數
Dplus KIA Challengers
GA8
Gaditima
事件損益
+$1.71
成交量
$1,997.22
持倉數
KT Rolster Challengers

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?(6,950%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?(6,750%)。該市場總成交量已達 $103.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始