LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$1.6M Vol
2026年9月28日
Active
機率趨勢
Team Liquid 92.5%
Cloud9 7.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 8,300% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) 以 6,200% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? 以 5,750% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $1.6M,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) (8,300%):Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,300¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $37.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) (6,200%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) 保持著 6,200% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,200¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? (5,750%):以 5,750% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (5,100%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)8300.0%$37.7K8300¢-8200¢
2Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)6200.0%$11.0K6200¢-6100¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?5750.0%$205750¢-5650¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5100.0%$7.3K5100¢-5000¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%$3064950¢-4850¢
40First Blood in Game 3?4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
41Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4850.0%$5624850¢-4750¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?4800.0%$5.3K4800¢-4700¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
44Game 4 Winner4650.0%$434650¢-4550¢
45Game 3 Winner3850.0%$49.5K3850¢-3750¢
46O/U 3.5 Games3850.0%$10.4K3850¢-3750¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?3300.0%$6353300¢-3200¢
48Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?2450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
49Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?2450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
50Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?2405.0%$1.6K2405¢-2305¢
51O/U 4.5 Games1700.0%$5.7K1700¢-1600¢
52Match Winner750.0%$568.5K750¢-650¢
53Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?250.0%$4.7K250¢-150¢
54Game 1 Winner5.0%$517.3K5¢95¢
55Game 2 Winner5.0%$424.6K5¢95¢
56First Blood in Game 1?5.0%$1005¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Cloud9 and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Team Liquid.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Cloud9.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 27, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 27, 2026

  • 12:01 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $84.35

    Bought 175.73 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? at 0.48

  • 11:56 AM
    MJMJ1337
    $144.00

    Bought 300 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? at 0.48

  • 11:52 AM
    0X0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554
    $100.00

    Bought 196.078432 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.51

  • 11:52 AM
    SMsm8926523
    $4.46

    Bought 8.92 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.5

  • 11:51 AM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $4.90

    Bought 10 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.49

  • 11:51 AM
    SMsm8926523
    $4.46

    Bought 8.92 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.5

  • 11:13 AM
    0X0x02CFa625e814647D742C8162a80e444De982813C-1772890585128
    $153.06

    Sold 306.12 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.5

  • 10:42 AM
    PLPLthegoat
    $2.24

    Bought 4.571429 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.49

  • 10:41 AM
    APApuuuuh
    $15.90

    Bought 30.576922 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.52

  • 10:06 AM
    0X0xc0a7bb260f013EaCe9abD8d72d62640080376541-1787995955693
    $2.42

    Bought 4.93 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.49

  • 10:06 AM
    0X0xCa6016434EfEe0DA7059a947Dc5700097C6a9e28-1772308226614
    $10.00

    Bought 27.777778 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.36

  • 09:48 AM
    ALalex-rus
    $4.89

    Bought 9.403847 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.52

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

FO1
FORTNITEMASTER888
事件損益
+$154.70
成交量
$239,143.83
持倉數
Team Liquid
OM2
omnibus-076daa
事件損益
+$9,134.73
成交量
$203,381.20
持倉數
Cloud9Cloud9
TA3
TAIWANNUMBERONE
事件損益
-$3,863.68
成交量
$81,940.11
持倉數
Team LiquidTeam LiquidTeam Liquid+1
SU4
Sunshine.Smile
事件損益
-$6,038.99
成交量
$37,141.47
持倉數
Team Liquid
695
0x69E3…1163
事件損益
+$1,419.50
成交量
$33,349.58
持倉數
Cloud9
RE6
RevengeRange
事件損益
+$4,695.98
成交量
$30,828.89
持倉數
Cloud9
VE7
Vetchoux
事件損益
+$1,173.60
成交量
$26,080.00
持倉數
Cloud9
F28
0xF201…4616
事件損益
-$4,424.88
成交量
$26,000.69
持倉數
Team Liquid

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) 以 8,300% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)(6,200%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?(5,750%)。該市場總成交量已達 $1.6M,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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