Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?

$99.7K Vol
2027年1月1日
Active
機率趨勢
December 31 31.0%
October 31 10.8%

核心摘要

根據「Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，December 31 以壓倒性的 3,100% 獲勝機率主導市場；October 31 以 1,090% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $99.7K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • December 31 (3,100%)：December 31 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 3,100¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $49.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • October 31 (1,090%)：作為最可行的替代選項，October 31 保持著 1,090% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 1,090¢。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1December 313100.0%$49.2K3100¢-3000¢
2October 311090.0%$60.1K1090¢-990¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Katie Zacharia ceases to be White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Katie Zacharia's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If Katie Zacharia has not yet taken office as White House Press Secretary at market creation, this market will also resolve to "Yes" if, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, her appointment is withdrawn or it is announced that she will not take the position.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Katie Zacharia and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 14, 2026

  • 01:50 AM
    BIbig-bird1
    $1.71

    Bought 5.51613 Yes for Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? at 0.31

  • 01:50 AM
    SIsingularityman
    $83.39

    Bought 269 Yes for Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? at 0.31

  • 01:42 AM
    OXox7eD3aed17a79c2A3375Da27a9470b310585027AA
    $1.84

    Bought 2.044189 No for Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? at 0.9

  • 01:38 AM
    WAwallet-account-test
    $25.42

    Bought 82 Yes for Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? at 0.31

  • 01:37 AM
    VOVolynMolfar
    $4.50

    Bought 5 No for Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? at 0.9

  • 01:37 AM
    NUNumitus1994
    $5.61

    Bought 51 Yes for Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? at 0.11

  • 01:30 AM
    ——
    $1.10

    Bought 1.193051 No for Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? at 0.92

  • 01:30 AM
    SIsingularityman
    $15.63

    Bought 156.26 Yes for Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? at 0.1

  • 01:28 AM
    SIsingularityman
    $27.00

    Bought 300 Yes for Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? at 0.09

  • 01:26 AM
    SUSUGA3699
    $1.01

    Bought 1.442856 No for Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? at 0.7

  • 01:25 AM
    7777kbCcPrd2uG8w
    $5.69

    Sold 6.25 No for Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? at 0.91

  • 01:25 AM
    ——
    $1.10

    Bought 1.549296 No for Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? at 0.71

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SI1
singularityman
事件損益
+$36.61
成交量
$10,140.72
持倉數
YesYes
LI2
lineth
事件損益
+$505.64
成交量
$8,720.15
持倉數
YesYes
LI3
LiquidatedDegen
事件損益
+$385.69
成交量
$8,519.89
持倉數
Yes
SC4
scout
事件損益
-$93.35
成交量
$8,080.00
持倉數
NoNo
JE5
Jest55
事件損益
-$215.37
成交量
$7,683.70
持倉數
No
SE6
sevisevi
事件損益
+$166.09
成交量
$6,974.70
持倉數
Yes
AL7
AllByMyseIf
事件損益
-$294.89
成交量
$6,500.00
持倉數
No
RE8
rewardbots
事件損益
+$91.21
成交量
$6,288.35
持倉數
YesYes

常見問題

目前市場對「Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，December 31 以 3,100% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 October 31（1,090%）。該市場總成交量已達 $99.7K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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