Jynxzi, Ron, and Los # of Minecraft deaths during marathon?

根據「Jynxzi, Ron, and Los # of Minecraft deaths during marathon?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，210-239 以壓倒性的 1,900% 獲勝機率主導市場；60-89 以 1,850% 位居第二，90-119 以 1,800% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• 210-239 (1,900%)：210-239 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 1,900¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• 60-89 (1,850%)：作為最可行的替代選項，60-89 保持著 1,850% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 1,850¢。
• 90-119 (1,800%)：以 1,800% 的機率位列第三，市場對 90-119 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

• 替代選項：包括 30-59 (1,550%)、240-269 (1,350%)，以及 270-299 (1,350%)。
• 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 120-149 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos are scheduled to begin streaming a hardcore Minecraft marathon on October 5, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon in a hardcore Minecraft world.

This market will resolve according to the number of combined Minecraft deaths across all three players during the entire marathon.

The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Jynxzi’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos complete or end the marathon. If Jynxzi’s counter is not available at that time, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on StableRonaldo’s official broadcast on Twitch, and if that counter is also not available, on Los Pollos’s official broadcast on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.

If none of these counters are available at the specified time, or if a counter becomes clearly erroneous or clearly does not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon, this market will resolve according to the most recent value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counters, according to the aforementioned hierarchy, that accurately represents the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft deaths during the marathon.

This market will remain open until the marathon is declared complete, abandoned, or otherwise finally ended by Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, or Los Pollos, regardless of whether the challenge is completed.

If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counters at that time, according to the aforementioned hierarchy.

The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counters displayed on Jynxzi’s, StableRonaldo’s, and Los Pollos’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.