W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato

2026年9月30日
Active
機率趨勢
Hikaru Sato 56.5%
Kisa Yoshioka 43.5%

核心摘要

根據「W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Completed Match 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 1 Winner 以 5,000% 位居第二,W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 2 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):Completed Match 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 1 Winner (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 1 Winner 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 2 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%)、W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%),以及 W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 1 O/U 8.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 1 O/U 8.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
8W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
9W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 1 O/U 10.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
10W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
11W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
12W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
13W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Match O/U 21.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Match O/U 22.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
15W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Match O/U 23.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
16W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato4400.0%4400¢-4300¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Kisa Yoshioka and Hikaru Sato in the W50 Nanao, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Kisa Yoshioka' if Kisa Yoshioka advances against Hikaru Sato.

This market will resolve to 'Hikaru Sato' if Hikaru Sato advances against Kisa Yoshioka.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 1 Winner(5,000%),以及 W50 Nanao: Kisa Yoshioka vs Hikaru Sato Set 2 Winner(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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