M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres

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2026年10月7日
Active
機率趨勢
Diego Esteban Torres 53.5%
Xavi Palomar 46.5%

核心摘要

根據「M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Completed Match 以壓倒性的 5,350% 獲勝機率主導市場;M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 1 Winner 以 5,000% 位居第二,M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 2 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Completed Match (5,350%):Completed Match 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,350¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 1 Winner (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 1 Winner 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 2 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%)、M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Match O/U 23.5 (5,000%),以及 M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set Handicap +/-1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Completed Match5350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
2M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 1 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Match O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 1 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 1 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 1 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
12M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
13M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
14M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Match O/U 21.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
15M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Match O/U 22.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
16M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Xavi Palomar and Diego Esteban Torres in the M25 Zaragoza, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 12:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Xavi Palomar' if Xavi Palomar advances against Diego Esteban Torres.

This market will resolve to 'Diego Esteban Torres' if Diego Esteban Torres advances against Xavi Palomar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,350% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 1 Winner(5,000%),以及 M25 Zaragoza: Xavi Palomar vs Diego Esteban Torres Set 2 Winner(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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