W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura

2026年9月30日
Active
機率趨勢
Jiangxue HAN 75.0%
Kurumi Tamura 25.0%

核心摘要

根據「W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura 以壓倒性的 7,500% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 5,000% 位居第二,W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set 1 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura (7,500%):W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,500¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set 1 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set 1 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set 2 Winner (5,000%)、W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%),以及 W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set Handicap +/-1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura7500.0%7500¢-7400¢
2Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set 1 O/U 8.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
9W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
10W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set 1 O/U 10.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
11W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
12W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
13W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Match O/U 21.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
15W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Match O/U 22.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
16W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Match O/U 23.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Jiangxue HAN and Kurumi Tamura in the W50 Nanao, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jiangxue HAN' if Jiangxue HAN advances against Kurumi Tamura.

This market will resolve to 'Kurumi Tamura' if Kurumi Tamura advances against Jiangxue HAN.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura 以 7,500% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,000%),以及 W50 Nanao: Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura Set 1 Winner(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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