W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald

$3 Vol
2026年10月2日
Active
機率趨勢
Madison Brengle 64.5%
Ella McDonald 35.5%

核心摘要

根據「W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald 以壓倒性的 6,450% 獲勝機率主導市場;W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 1 Winner 以 6,000% 位居第二,W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 1 O/U 10.5 以 5,300% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $3,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald (6,450%):W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,450¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $3 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 1 Winner (6,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 1 Winner 保持著 6,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,000¢。
  • W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 1 O/U 10.5 (5,300%):以 5,300% 的機率位列第三,市場對 W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 1 O/U 10.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Completed Match (5,000%)、W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 2 Winner (5,000%),以及 W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 2 O/U 8.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald6450.0%$36450¢-6350¢
2W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 1 Winner6000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
3W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 1 O/U 10.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
4Completed Match5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
8W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Match O/U 22.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Match O/U 23.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
12W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Match O/U 21.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
13W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set Handicap +/-1.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
14W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Total Sets: O/U 2.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
15W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 1 O/U 8.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
16W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set Handicap +/-1.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Brengle and Ella McDonald in the W50 Berkeley, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Madison Brengle' if Madison Brengle advances against Ella McDonald.

This market will resolve to 'Ella McDonald' if Ella McDonald advances against Madison Brengle.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald 以 6,450% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 1 Winner(6,000%),以及 W50 Berkeley, CA: Madison Brengle vs Ella McDonald Set 1 O/U 10.5(5,300%)。該市場總成交量已達 $3,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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