GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?

2026年12月31日
Active
機率趨勢
↑ $7.50 49.5%
↑ $7.00 49.5%
↑ $6.50 49.5%
↓ $5.50 49.5%

核心摘要

根據「GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,↑ $8.00 以壓倒性的 4,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;↑ $7.50 以 4,950% 位居第二,↑ $7.00 以 4,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • ↑ $8.00 (4,950%):↑ $8.00 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 4,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • ↑ $7.50 (4,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,↑ $7.50 保持著 4,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,950¢。
  • ↑ $7.00 (4,950%):以 4,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 ↑ $7.00 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 ↑ $6.50 (4,950%)、↓ $5.50 (4,950%),以及 ↓ $5.00 (4,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 ↓ $4.50 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1↑ $8.004950.0%4950¢-4850¢
2↑ $7.504950.0%4950¢-4850¢
3↑ $7.004950.0%4950¢-4850¢
4↑ $6.504950.0%4950¢-4850¢
5↓ $5.504950.0%4950¢-4850¢
6↓ $5.004950.0%4950¢-4850¢
7↓ $4.504950.0%4950¢-4850¢
8↓ $4.004950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9↓ $3.504950.0%4950¢-4850¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.

常見問題

目前市場對「GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,↑ $8.00 以 4,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 ↑ $7.50(4,950%),以及 ↑ $7.00(4,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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