Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

根據「Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Angie Nixon (D) 以壓倒性的 4,250% 獲勝機率主導市場；Ashley Moody (R) 以 4,250% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 —，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• Angie Nixon (D) (4,250%)：Angie Nixon (D) 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 4,250¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• Ashley Moody (R) (4,250%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Ashley Moody (R) 保持著 4,250% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,250¢。

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.