Ethereum Up or Down on September 7?

$35.8K Vol
2026年9月7日
Active
機率趨勢
Up 69.5%
Down 30.5%

核心摘要

根據「Ethereum Up or Down on September 7?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Up 以壓倒性的 6,550% 獲勝機率主導市場；Down 以 3,450% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $35.8K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • Up (6,550%)：Up 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,550¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • Down (3,450%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Down 保持著 3,450% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 3,450¢。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1Up6550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
2Down3450.0%—3450¢-3350¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 7 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 7 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 6, 2026

  • 09:03 PM
    KIkingofcoinflips
    $7.00

    Bought 10 Up for Ethereum Up or Down on September 7? at 0.7

  • 08:50 PM
    KIkingofcoinflips
    $201.00

    Bought 300 Up for Ethereum Up or Down on September 7? at 0.67

  • 08:47 PM
    RORomaJM
    $7.78

    Sold 24.3 Down for Ethereum Up or Down on September 7? at 0.32

  • 08:39 PM
    RORomaJM
    $8.75

    Bought 24.305554 Down for Ethereum Up or Down on September 7? at 0.36

  • 08:24 PM
    ——
    $4.00

    Bought 6.153845 Up for Ethereum Up or Down on September 7? at 0.65

  • 08:23 PM
    KIkingofcoinflips
    $6.24

    Bought 9.75 Up for Ethereum Up or Down on September 7? at 0.64

  • 07:52 PM
    ——
    $4.00

    Bought 9.756096 Down for Ethereum Up or Down on September 7? at 0.41

  • 07:17 PM
    TRTrader120
    $1.02

    Bought 2.615383 Down for Ethereum Up or Down on September 7? at 0.39

  • 06:30 PM
    CYcyberbookie
    $5.85

    Bought 9 Up for Ethereum Up or Down on September 7? at 0.65

  • 06:25 PM
    STstavkoludik
    $24.05

    Bought 37 Up for Ethereum Up or Down on September 7? at 0.65

  • 05:57 PM
    PUpullehy
    $1.39

    Bought 2.278687 Up for Ethereum Up or Down on September 7? at 0.61

  • 05:35 PM
    YOYosooooooo
    $1.78

    Bought 2.966665 Up for Ethereum Up or Down on September 7? at 0.6

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

KI1
kingofcoinflips
事件損益
+$2.39
成交量
$11,329.59
持倉數
Up
ZU2
Zukko111
事件損益
-$22.95
成交量
$2,617.78
持倉數
Down
IH3
IH2P
事件損益
-$13.27
成交量
$2,016.70
持倉數
Down
CO4
coinfilippe
事件損益
-$36.82
成交量
$1,999.99
持倉數
Down
ME5
Mewpa
事件損益
-$94.35
成交量
$1,180.00
持倉數
Down
GO6
gobblewobble
事件損益
-$96.37
成交量
$1,168.81
持倉數
Down
T07
t00000000
事件損益
-$115.76
成交量
$1,003.01
持倉數
Down
068
0x06dc…0452
事件損益
-$50.13
成交量
$606.06
持倉數
Down

常見問題

目前市場對「Ethereum Up or Down on September 7?」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，Up 以 6,550% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Down（3,450%）。該市場總成交量已達 $35.8K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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