Pro Football: Drake Maye 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns

$1.4K Vol
2027年1月27日
Active
機率趨勢
23.5+ passing TDs 67.0%
26.5+ passing TDs 46.0%
20.5+ passing TDs 45.0%
32.5+ passing TDs 27.0%
29.5+ passing TDs 17.5%

核心摘要

根據「Pro Football: Drake Maye 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,23.5+ passing TDs 以壓倒性的 6,700% 獲勝機率主導市場;26.5+ passing TDs 以 4,600% 位居第二,20.5+ passing TDs 以 4,500% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $1.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 23.5+ passing TDs (6,700%):23.5+ passing TDs 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,700¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $101 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 26.5+ passing TDs (4,600%):作為最可行的替代選項,26.5+ passing TDs 保持著 4,600% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,600¢。
  • 20.5+ passing TDs (4,500%):以 4,500% 的機率位列第三,市場對 20.5+ passing TDs 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 32.5+ passing TDs (2,650%),以及 29.5+ passing TDs (1,750%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 32.5+ passing TDs 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
123.5+ passing TDs6700.0%$1016700¢-6600¢
226.5+ passing TDs4600.0%$1174600¢-4500¢
320.5+ passing TDs4500.0%$9634500¢-4400¢
432.5+ passing TDs2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
529.5+ passing TDs1750.0%$2631750¢-1650¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Drake Maye records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Drake Maye does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Drake Maye recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「Pro Football: Drake Maye 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,23.5+ passing TDs 以 6,700% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 26.5+ passing TDs(4,600%),以及 20.5+ passing TDs(4,500%)。該市場總成交量已達 $1.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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