Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

$269.5K Vol
2026年9月17日
Active
機率趨勢
Yellow Submarine 100.0%
Two Move 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Ends in Daytime 以 9,050% 位居第二,Ends in Daytime 以 9,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $269.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $27 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Ends in Daytime (9,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Ends in Daytime 保持著 9,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,050¢。
  • Ends in Daytime (9,050%):以 9,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Ends in Daytime 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Beat Roshan (950%)、Both Teams Destroy Barracks (950%),以及 Any Player Ultra Kill (950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Rampage 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$279995¢-9895¢
2Ends in Daytime9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
3Ends in Daytime9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan950.0%950¢-850¢
5Both Teams Destroy Barracks950.0%950¢-850¢
6Any Player Ultra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
7Any Player Rampage950.0%950¢-850¢
8Both Teams Beat Roshan950.0%950¢-850¢
9Both Teams Destroy Barracks950.0%950¢-850¢
10Any Player Ultra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
11Any Player Rampage950.0%950¢-850¢
12Ends in Daytime950.0%950¢-850¢
13Both Teams Beat Roshan950.0%950¢-850¢
14Both Teams Destroy Barracks950.0%950¢-850¢
15Any Player Ultra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
16Any Player Rampage950.0%950¢-850¢
17Game 2 Winner5.0%$74.3K95¢
18Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)5.0%95¢
19Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Two Move (+1.5)5.0%$5095¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Yellow Submarine and Two Move in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against Two Move.

This market will resolve to "Two Move" if Two Move win the match against Yellow Submarine.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 16, 2026

  • 11:15 PM
    IBibrahim123k
    $4.30

    Sold 4.3 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1

  • 10:57 PM
    PPPpLcap
    $40.88

    Sold 40.88 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1

  • 10:56 PM
    FRfriedchickie
    $1,076.84

    Sold 1076.84 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1

  • 10:55 PM
    CICirilka
    $100.76

    Sold 100.76 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1

  • 10:51 PM
    434356ee
    $6.47

    Sold 6.47 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1

  • 10:49 PM
    KAkantesher
    $50.57

    Sold 50.57 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1

  • 10:47 PM
    BEBernie.L.
    $300.00

    Sold 300 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1

  • 10:46 PM
    IAiamnotwhoiwas
    $139.75

    Sold 139.75 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1

  • 10:46 PM
    MQmqww
    $3,491.46

    Sold 3491.46 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1

  • 10:46 PM
    MQmqww
    $182.15

    Sold 182.15 Two Move for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 10:46 PM
    IAiamnotwhoiwas
    $7.03

    Sold 7.03 Two Move for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 10:45 PM
    0X0xBDD4059Cb05CeFCeEdfF0A2D0B1F5834d33B9bcD-1777385662620
    $259.13

    Sold 259.13 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SU1
Sunshine.Smile
事件損益
+$5,674.70
成交量
$13,027.07
持倉數
Two Move
EZ2
ezMerge
事件損益
+$3.91
成交量
$7,828.33
持倉數
Two Move
F23
0xF201…4616
事件損益
+$3,002.62
成交量
$7,541.36
持倉數
Two Move
NU4
0xNuttawut
事件損益
-$538.83
成交量
$5,543.26
持倉數
Two Move
TI5
TIwinner
事件損益
-$2,144.41
成交量
$5,526.37
持倉數
Yellow Submarine
PA6
palyanitsya
事件損益
-$1,922.35
成交量
$5,321.32
持倉數
Two MoveYellow Submarine
MQ7
mqww
事件損益
-$1,433.26
成交量
$5,226.23
持倉數
Yellow SubmarineTwo Move
C58
0xc5d9…2190
事件損益
-$409.64
成交量
$3,008.97
持倉數
Two Move

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Ends in Daytime(9,050%),以及 Ends in Daytime(9,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $269.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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