Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

$1.9M Vol
2026年10月8日
Active
機率趨勢
Team Yandex 93.5%
LGD Gaming 6.5%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Ends in Daytime 以 9,050% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 以 9,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $1.9M,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $3.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Ends in Daytime (9,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Ends in Daytime 保持著 9,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,050¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,050%):以 9,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,050%)、Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? (9,050%),以及 Match Winner (7,450%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Ends in Daytime 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$3.6K9995¢-9895¢
2Ends in Daytime9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
6Match Winner7450.0%$204.3K7450¢-7350¢
7Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan3350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
10Both Teams Destroy Barracks3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
11Any Player Ultra Kill2900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
12Both Teams Beat Roshan950.0%—950¢-850¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks950.0%—950¢-850¢
14Any Player Ultra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
15Any Player Rampage950.0%—950¢-850¢
16First Blood in Game 2?950.0%—950¢-850¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?950.0%—950¢-850¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?950.0%—950¢-850¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?950.0%—950¢-850¢
20Game 2 Winner5.0%$1.1M5¢95¢
21Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)5.0%$59.4K5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between Team Yandex and LGD Gaming in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against LGD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Team Yandex.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 8, 2026

  • 11:34 AM
    RARaiJhin
    $51.59

    Sold 51.59 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 11:33 AM
    DVdvacation
    $23.90

    Sold 23.9 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) at 1

  • 11:33 AM
    KRkrasnoesolnishko
    $3,391.89

    Sold 3391.89 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 11:32 AM
    NGngurahhendri
    $1,153.42

    Sold 1153.42 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 11:32 AM
    0X0x45EEcadDA7Cfa2a2891aC6344D1ca9d1464974E5-1788209510598
    $11.34

    Bought 43.615385 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.26

  • 11:32 AM
    DAdavaiiii
    $392.90

    Sold 392.9 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 11:32 AM
    0X0xa94d361FdfDd968b4339664Df91519C2bd8f0896-1768727605891
    $221.37

    Sold 221.37 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 11:32 AM
    ULultramegalastdodep
    $39.69

    Sold 39.69 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 11:32 AM
    ESEsportsWhale
    $20.54

    Sold 20.54 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 11:31 AM
    ——
    $200.00

    Bought 266.666664 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.75

  • 11:31 AM
    KYkylianonpol
    $353.92

    Sold 353.92 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 11:31 AM
    DEdendeukie
    $1.79

    Sold 7.14 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.25

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

TY1
tyoprkg
事件損益
+$582.20
成交量
$17,262.24
持倉數
Team Yandex
MO2
monolog
事件損益
+$77.55
成交量
$15,416.10
持倉數
LGD Gaming
443
0x4468…4625
事件損益
-$2,175.00
成交量
$14,999.97
持倉數
LGD Gaming
OJ4
ojgtubvdt
事件損益
+$675.29
成交量
$12,203.57
持倉數
Team Yandex
VT5
vtcchampion52
事件損益
-$383.09
成交量
$10,404.50
持倉數
Team YandexLGD Gaming
FO6
forsenxd
事件損益
+$1,548.46
成交量
$10,300.05
持倉數
Team Yandex
VI7
vibing123
事件損益
+$1.11
成交量
$8,999.93
持倉數
LGD Gaming
SI8
SimpleTony
事件損益
+$17.94
成交量
$8,694.49
持倉數
LGD GamingLGD Gaming

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Ends in Daytime(9,050%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?(9,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $1.9M,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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