Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

$296.4K Vol
2026年9月1日
Active
機率趨勢
Pipsqueak+4 66.0%
Spirit Academy 34.0%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Ends in Daytime 以 5,000% 位居第二,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $296.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $3.0K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Ends in Daytime (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Ends in Daytime 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Beat Roshan 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%)、Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%),以及 Any Player Rampage (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Match Winner 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$3.0K9995¢-9895¢
2Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Match Winner3400.0%$61.2K3400¢-3300¢
8Game Handicap: PIPS+4 (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)5.0%$34395¢
9Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)5.0%$1095¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Spirit Academy and Pipsqueak+4 in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win the match against Pipsqueak+4.

This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win the match against Spirit Academy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 31, 2026

  • 09:36 PM
    0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187
    $0.00

    Bought 8.21 Pipsqueak+4 for Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 0

  • 09:35 PM
    0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187
    $0.00

    Bought 6.84 Pipsqueak+4 for Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 0

  • 09:35 PM
    0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187
    $0.00

    Bought 6.84 Pipsqueak+4 for Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 0

  • 09:35 PM
    0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187
    $0.00

    Bought 6.84 Pipsqueak+4 for Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 0

  • 09:35 PM
    0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187
    $0.00

    Bought 6.84 Pipsqueak+4 for Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 0

  • 09:35 PM
    0X0x0996892FeD8C8A7177f911Ea7DfD7Fc511eA485b-1786815549859
    $0.00

    Bought 1000 Pipsqueak+4 for Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 0

  • 09:35 PM
    0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187
    $0.00

    Bought 6.84 Pipsqueak+4 for Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 0

  • 09:35 PM
    $4.26

    Sold 4.26 Spirit Academy for Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 09:35 PM
    MQmqww
    $7,499.76

    Sold 7499.76 Spirit Academy for Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 09:35 PM
    IAiamnotwhoiwas
    $259.91

    Sold 259.91 Spirit Academy for Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 09:34 PM
    0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187
    $0.00

    Bought 6.84 Pipsqueak+4 for Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 0

  • 09:34 PM
    KEkepikone
    $194.17

    Sold 194.17 Spirit Academy for Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner at 1

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

MQ1
mqww
事件損益
-$154.05
成交量
$5,224.20
持倉數
Spirit Academy
PE2
pepegagiga
事件損益
-$299.69
成交量
$5,062.14
持倉數
Pipsqueak+4
TI3
TIwinner
事件損益
+$143.65
成交量
$4,763.08
持倉數
Pipsqueak+4
RA4
randomniynickname
事件損益
+$208.65
成交量
$4,029.11
持倉數
Spirit Academy
SA5
sashasasha5
事件損益
-$70.00
成交量
$3,499.92
持倉數
Pipsqueak+4
AL6
alpheclabs
事件損益
+$38.83
成交量
$3,101.72
持倉數
Spirit AcademyUnder
PO7
pol2131
事件損益
+$25.46
成交量
$2,026.62
持倉數
Pipsqueak+4
078
0x076d…8d4c
事件損益
+$141.57
成交量
$1,871.55
持倉數
Spirit Academy

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Ends in Daytime(5,000%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $296.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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